Great Article on Market Timing

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Jan 28, 2020
3:03:22pm

memento Playmaker

Great Article on Market Timing

TLDR: If you knew the future and would only invest at market bottoms, you'd only outperform the market by 0.40% a year. Invest in index funds and invest in lump sums over DCA (when possible).

Of Dollars And Data

Why Market Timing Can Be So Appealing

On the temptation of having cash on the sidelines.

https://ofdollarsanddata.com/why-market-timing-can-be-so-appealing/[https://ofdollarsanddata.com/why-market-timing-can-be-so-appealing/?utm_source=Daily+AR&utm_campaign=8092254b27-RSS_EMAIL_CAMPAIGN&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_c08a59015d-8092254b27-144147369]

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memento

Bio page: memento
Joined: Nov 26, 2010
Last login: Apr 25, 2024
Total posts: 5,585 (374 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Great Article on Market Timing

memento

1/28/20 3:03pm

If you could see the future you’d sell everything on the highs as well, and

1/28/20 3:07pm

But the point is if you have money on the sidelines or you sell when you think

1/28/20 3:12pm

Question of investment experts

Zenoch

1/28/20 3:24pm

No investment expert here. If anyone knew the real answer to those questions

Acorn

1/28/20 3:38pm

Yep, I think I saw the same post. Got me thinking.

Zenoch

1/28/20 3:52pm

I posted about Index funds and how it's frothy

grosven

1/28/20 4:34pm

Agree that most should DCA the SPY. The best investors do not do that.

grosven

1/28/20 4:30pm

Holding cash on the sidelines is literally

memento

1/28/20 4:50pm

Sure. The data you look at. The data you interpret

grosven

1/28/20 5:09pm

The irony of saying index investing is "dumb money"

memento

1/28/20 5:20pm

Active invested mutual funds are even worse--I agree. The Index is Dumb money.

grosven

1/28/20 6:06pm

I know we're basically saying the same thing

memento

1/28/20 8:24pm

We’re not saying the same thing. That’s ok

grosven

1/28/20 9:17pm

Active management has negative expected value

memento

1/28/20 9:53pm

I don’t think you have much grasp on what I’m proposing

grosven

1/28/20 10:04pm

No, I do but I take issue with your assertion

memento

1/29/20 6:34am

I see. Success in investing is not just about being smart.

grosven

1/29/20 9:55am

It is possible to beat dollar cost averaging. Lump sum investing beats DCA

OlanchoCoug

1/28/20 8:02pm

You're 100% right, I was just responding to the idea of keeping cash on the

memento

1/28/20 8:21pm

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