Active management has negative expected value

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Jan 28, 2020
9:53:25pm

memento Playmaker

What your proposing as an investment strategy produces worse outcomes for investors.

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memento

Bio page: memento
Joined: Nov 26, 2010
Last login: Apr 29, 2024
Total posts: 5,592 (374 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Great Article on Market Timing

memento

1/28/20 3:03pm

If you could see the future you’d sell everything on the highs as well, and

bluecougar1985

1/28/20 3:07pm

But the point is if you have money on the sidelines or you sell when you think

frontrowcougar

1/28/20 3:12pm

Question of investment experts

Zenoch

1/28/20 3:24pm

No investment expert here. If anyone knew the real answer to those questions

Acorn

1/28/20 3:38pm

Yep, I think I saw the same post. Got me thinking.

Zenoch

1/28/20 3:52pm

I posted about Index funds and how it's frothy

grosven

1/28/20 4:34pm

Agree that most should DCA the SPY. The best investors do not do that.

grosven

1/28/20 4:30pm

Holding cash on the sidelines is literally

memento

1/28/20 4:50pm

Sure. The data you look at. The data you interpret

grosven

1/28/20 5:09pm

The irony of saying index investing is "dumb money"

memento

1/28/20 5:20pm

Active invested mutual funds are even worse--I agree. The Index is Dumb money.

grosven

1/28/20 6:06pm

I know we're basically saying the same thing

memento

1/28/20 8:24pm

We’re not saying the same thing. That’s ok

grosven

1/28/20 9:17pm

Active management has negative expected value

memento

1/28/20 9:53pm

I don’t think you have much grasp on what I’m proposing

grosven

1/28/20 10:04pm

No, I do but I take issue with your assertion

memento

1/29/20 6:34am

I see. Success in investing is not just about being smart.

grosven

1/29/20 9:55am

It is possible to beat dollar cost averaging. Lump sum investing beats DCA

OlanchoCoug

1/28/20 8:02pm

You're 100% right, I was just responding to the idea of keeping cash on the

memento

1/28/20 8:21pm

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