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Feb 20, 2020
9:53
:06
am
byubyu
All-American
Have they beaten any team that is projected to be a 5 seed or higher?
And you want to sign up to play 2 of them back to back?
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byubyu
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byubyu
Joined
Jun 28, 2006
Last login
May 5, 2024
Total posts
65,870 (2,899 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Why beating Santa Clara and Pepperdine is the most important thing, not Gonzaga
IceWaterExtraIce
2/20/20 9:42am
You'd rather be a 12 seed than an 8 seed?
byubyu
2/20/20 9:44am
12's have a good track record against 5's, and you don't have to play a #1 in
Dakota Cougar
2/20/20 9:45am
You're worried about making the sweet 16.
byubyu
2/20/20 9:48am
I think the team has the talent to get to the sweet 16 with the right draw.
Dakota Cougar
2/20/20 9:50am
Have they beaten any team that is projected to be a 5 seed or higher?
byubyu
2/20/20 9:53am
The closest team that we've played to a 5 seed is probably Houston, we beat them
Dakota Cougar
2/20/20 9:59am
Fair, but a first round or second round exit isn't special regardless. So as far
YaHerdWithPerd
2/20/20 11:39am
it's special for us
BlueK
2/20/20 12:19pm
Yep. 53% of teams will go home without making it to the Round of 32.
Gentleman Stan
2/20/20 9:53am
I'm thinking more like 91% of teams won't make it to the round of 32.
BYUCPA
2/20/20 10:01am
Yep. I definitely would. A 5 seed would be very nervous to play us. Not much
Coach's Dad
2/20/20 9:45am
Seeds 10-12 are historically about twice as likely as 8-9 to make the Sweet 16
The Shazad
2/20/20 9:48am
Well obviously, they have to play a one seed next
IceWaterExtraIce
2/20/20 9:49am
And historically BYU can't make it past the first day.
byubyu
2/20/20 9:50am
well clearly you'd want to avoid a play-in game
The Shazad
2/20/20 9:53am
But much less likely to make the Round of 32. You want an 8-9. Only 47% of the
Gentleman Stan
2/20/20 9:53am
it all depends what your goal is as a team
The Shazad
2/20/20 9:55am
This is a nice, sensible comment.
Dakota Cougar
2/20/20 9:59am
Teams that haven't advanced to the Round of 32 in 9 years had better be focused
Gentleman Stan
2/20/20 10:25am
of course they should focus on winning
The Shazad
2/20/20 10:30am
Right. And that's an 8-9.
Gentleman Stan
2/20/20 10:38am
ok, whatever
The Shazad
2/20/20 10:52am
I would. The difference in opponent in rd 1 is negligible.
flyzag
2/20/20 9:53am
The difference is negligible between Kentucky and St Mary's?
byubyu
2/20/20 9:58am
Yes, Kentucky kenpom rank =28, SMC=34
flyzag
2/20/20 10:01am
But, if you read my post, I never mentioned kentucky.
flyzag
2/20/20 10:03am
Wonder why.....
byubyu
2/20/20 10:04am
just keep in mind, a 12 seed with an at-large bid = play-in game
BlueK
2/20/20 9:45am
That's a good consideration.
Dakota Cougar
2/20/20 9:47am
The ideal thing would be to have convincing wins against Santa Clara and Pepp
Ode to Hoy
2/20/20 9:47am
Agreed except for the rather lose to both thing
fattycoug
2/20/20 9:49am
you should add quadrants to your analysis. Pepperdine is probably a q2 game
BlueK
2/20/20 9:50am
Just did, thanks for the tip
IceWaterExtraIce
2/20/20 9:54am
Pepperdine will be Q2 if we lose, Q3 if we win.
rggee
2/20/20 9:57am
still possible it could be a q2 win for us
BlueK
2/20/20 11:05am
LMU and USD were down in the 240s range. I doubt Pepperdine will move up by
rggee
2/20/20 12:34pm
I agree wholeheartedly. Gonzaga is not a must win and not a probable win
idacoug
2/20/20 9:52am
The important thing is to go 2 of 3. Which games won’t make that big of a
cougarfann888
2/20/20 10:00am
It must be exhausting to worry so much about things beyond your control
StantonMac
2/20/20 10:08am
Wow that was good analysis, I agree with that totally
spicycoug
2/20/20 10:13am
Well said. Tonight's game might be the most important game BYU has left.
inside_info?
2/20/20 10:22am
Don't know about the seeding, but absolutely agree those are the important games
Mitty
2/20/20 2:16pm
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