The possible scenario that nobody is talking about.

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Mar 17, 2020
10:23:21pm

Lance71 Truly Addicted User

20% of the US population had COVID19 in January. We currently have 1+ million people infected.

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Lance71

Bio page: Lance71
Joined: Jun 2, 2008
Last login: Apr 25, 2024
Total posts: 14,694 (45 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

The possible scenario that nobody is talking about.

Lance71

3/17/20 10:23pm

<< Deleted >>

Buffalo

3/17/20 10:24pm

Point me to a thread, I'd like to read it.

Lance71

3/17/20 10:25pm

<< Deleted >>

Buffalo

3/17/20 10:26pm

scrolled 5 pages, and it's not there.

Lance71

3/17/20 10:31pm

<< Deleted >>

Buffalo

3/17/20 10:37pm

It's been talked about that a lot more have it than we think. That's why we

wabluecoug

3/17/20 10:25pm

Which in my mind is a great scenario shows this isn’t scary

cougarfann888

3/17/20 10:27pm

How does this scenario explain what is happening in Italy?

barnacle

3/17/20 10:30pm

They are different that we are. They are more crowded, grandparents usually live

wabluecoug

3/17/20 10:35pm

If 20% of the population had it millions of our older people would be infected.

barnacle

3/17/20 10:36pm

I don't think 20% have it, I was just speculating why Italy's numbers are what

wabluecoug

3/17/20 10:39pm

Correct. They don’t have stars on their bellies.

StalwartBraveTrue

3/18/20 12:43am

Italians suffer disproportionately from resp illnesses. Look it up

Run-DMT

3/18/20 12:05am

Most of the countries testing are finding very few people actually

Coach's Dad

3/17/20 10:30pm

Does someone test positive a week after they get better?

Joe Banks

3/17/20 10:32pm

No. In the US you have to actually test negative twice 24 hours apart to be

Lance71

3/17/20 10:34pm

I imagine people who were feeling any symptoms were getting tested. I’m not

Coach's Dad

3/17/20 10:37pm

I think that's why the push for testing has been so great...

CougarBuddy

3/17/20 10:44pm

The thing is, it’s hard to believe that with the hundreds of thousands of tests

BYUCLA

3/17/20 10:34pm

I don’t think the US is testing randomly enough to get a real figure. I could be wrong though

YIsForBrigham

3/17/20 10:39pm

We could use data from other countries. I don’t care where it comes from

BYUCLA

3/17/20 10:42pm

From what I understand, S. Korea was testing anybody who asked.

DirtyHippieUte

3/17/20 10:55pm

Here’s a link to something from South Korea

BYUCLA

3/17/20 11:00pm

I found a link to their CDC. This scares me.

DirtyHippieUte

3/17/20 11:11pm

But won't infect the high-risk people that are self-quarantined.

Mises

3/17/20 11:24pm

That’s not really how quarantine works.

DirtyHippieUte

3/17/20 11:41pm

Not if grandma isn't letting anyone in.

Mises

3/17/20 11:49pm

Like her nurse? Meals on wheels? Her dia-beetus supplies from Wilford Brimley?

DirtyHippieUte

3/17/20 11:55pm

That is what I have heard watching the Korean news and getting info from my wife

morningcalmcougar

3/17/20 11:08pm

Germany has been far more random than SK. SK still only really tested

CSoul

3/17/20 11:10pm

Extremely unlikely

chilango

3/17/20 10:43pm

Why?

Lance71

3/17/20 10:48pm

Answered below, if this is a serious question.

chilango

3/17/20 10:58pm

From what I understand, that’s not the case

DirtyHippieUte

3/17/20 10:53pm

lance71 only reads one page of CB. Talked about topic a ton

Swishfromdeep3

3/17/20 10:53pm

Because the virus didn’t exist in humans until very late last year, and it

chilango

3/17/20 10:57pm

So 65 million had it, but no deaths were attributed to it?

bluesloth

3/17/20 11:10pm

I wish I could find it, but I read somewhere that the CDC

Solomon Levi

3/18/20 12:08am

Iceland, with a higher per capita infection % than Italy, is doing a lot of

Mitty

3/17/20 11:46pm

Board name checks out. First name Walter.

Coach's Dad

3/18/20 12:04am

That would actually be GREAT news

Solomon Levi

3/18/20 12:10am

Makes absolutely no sense from an infectious disease/epidemiology basis.

StalwartBraveTrue

3/18/20 12:45am

Unless the death rate is actually lower than the flu.

Lance71

3/18/20 8:09am

Check S Korea where they’ve had the widest testing of any nation yet.

StalwartBraveTrue

3/18/20 7:39pm

And there’s no evidence that it is.

chilango

3/18/20 7:44pm

There's quite a bit of evidence that the death rate is only higher in only

Lance71

3/18/20 7:57pm

Please clarify what you mean by that, and provide some examples.

chilango

3/18/20 10:29pm

Here is one. There are several others.

Lance71

3/19/20 4:09pm

Every single example in your link has a higher death rate than the flu. Most are

chilango

3/19/20 4:30pm

You basically ignored what I said in my post. And came to your own conclusion of

Lance71

3/19/20 4:42pm

Your OP: “Unless the death rate is actually lower than the flu” What did I miss?

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