That's total cases, total deaths is about 13 days behind. They were 107 on 3/4

Mar 18, 2020
2:08:36am

wabluecoug Intervention Needed

We were at 111 at the end of the 17th. On the 5th they had 148, so by the end of today (the 18th) we will see if we can lag even more.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Mar 18, 2020 at 2:08:36am

Message modified by wabluecoug on Mar 18, 2020 at 2:11:03am

Message modified by wabluecoug on Mar 18, 2020 at 2:11:25am

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wabluecoug

Bio page: wabluecoug
Joined: Nov 6, 2007
Last login: May 18, 2024
Total posts: 32,349 (464 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Good news in Italy, bad news in the US

cougarblue

3/18/20 1:06am

Increased testing means increased cases.

cheezedawg

3/18/20 1:07am

Also, show me the US death rate. WAY more important

gaspasscoug

3/18/20 1:08am

Yes. People know your numbers and what they mean.

kotacoug

3/18/20 1:11am

i'd prefer to make up my numbers and double down on my wrong conclusions

Cougarclaw

3/18/20 9:43am

We'll likely reach their # of cases as testing increases. Our population is 5x

dazcoug

3/18/20 1:18pm

But our death chart looks better, which is really the important thing with how

wabluecoug

3/18/20 1:08am

No it doesn't. It is just behind.

kimdaddy35

3/18/20 1:41am

“Two to three weeks behind Italy”!!! The rallying cry

cougfanz

3/18/20 1:45am

In a couple days the cry will be we’re just a month behind Italy.

kotacoug

3/18/20 1:47am

No, it is about 10 days. Italy had over 1000 new cases on March 7th

kimdaddy35

3/18/20 2:04am

That's total cases, total deaths is about 13 days behind. They were 107 on 3/4

wabluecoug

3/18/20 2:08am

Not sure your point. Ok we are two weeks behind. That only paints a grimmer

kimdaddy35

3/18/20 2:13am

Here is MY point. Ive had 20 cases of influenz a at work this month 1 death 1 st

CarolinaCoug

3/18/20 10:43am

Yes worldwide deaths are fairly low right now because why?

kimdaddy35

3/18/20 12:56pm

It keeps lagging further and further behind Italy. It was a week lag, then 11

wabluecoug

3/18/20 1:47am

Yep.

kotacoug

3/18/20 1:48am

How many times do we have to explain this. The more testing we do the

kotacoug

3/18/20 1:10am

Based on that, there's a chance the spread rate is even worse than Italy

cougarblue

3/18/20 1:14am

The numbers are a function of testing not spread rate

kotacoug

3/18/20 1:21am

We are one of the worst countries in the world in testing

kimdaddy35

3/18/20 1:45am

Or are an NBA players? None of them are hospitalized. No symptoms, even.

CosmoK

3/18/20 5:56am

That still doesn't mean it's spreading faster or slower here.

Harbinger

3/18/20 6:05am

So? Yeah and most people arent sick nor dying..move on alrezdy

CarolinaCoug

3/18/20 11:09am

Which means Italy is reaching peak in the 30 day window just like China, and

777

3/18/20 1:13am

Why are we comparing ourselves to Italy. Why not Germany or South Korea?

OceanMang

3/18/20 1:24am

Doesn’t fit the panic narrative.

kotacoug

3/18/20 1:24am

Speaking of panic, just wait until the crowded population centers hit their

wabluecoug

3/18/20 1:38am

The media do a great job of providing perspective, don’t they? 😁

Run-DMT

3/18/20 1:39am

It's greatest virtue, especially in the last decade.

Y05

3/18/20 3:51am

I would say that our initial response was more like Italy than SK. Don't know

Cougar8Duck

3/18/20 1:41am

Why would you say that? We seem to be handling it just as well as SK.

kotacoug

3/18/20 1:43am

Seriously? They test 10,000 a day. We didn't reach that mark for weeks

kimdaddy35

3/18/20 1:55am

The US still tests fewer than 4K a day through private labs

Sumguy

3/18/20 7:45am

I may be wrong, but my understanding is that SK very rapidly implemented testing

Cougar8Duck

3/18/20 1:55am

All testing does is show how many people actually have it.

OceanMang

3/18/20 2:03am

You don't get it, if people don't know they have it they are MUCH

kimdaddy35

3/18/20 2:06am

No, you don't get it. It's already been spread and we're not dying in droves.

OceanMang

3/18/20 2:13am

Lol. We'll see I guess. We know the critical cases are spiraling exponentially

kimdaddy35

3/18/20 2:28am

"We know that currently 52% of all confirmed cases with a result in the US have

OceanMang

3/18/20 2:33am

So you don't keep up on it. Gotcha.

kimdaddy35

3/18/20 2:36am

So you are going off of closed cases deaths. You got me. We're all going to die.

OceanMang

3/18/20 2:47am

Good comeback. After saying I was out of my mind and

kimdaddy35

3/18/20 2:56am

I'm trying to be civil

OceanMang

3/18/20 3:22am

He doesn’t understand that statistic is completely meaningless.

antiyewt

3/18/20 10:06am

I propose that we stop all testing immediately so that the numbers look great. They will level out and

hamaca

3/18/20 11:16am

I crease testing let people realize everyone has it and

CarolinaCoug

3/18/20 11:24am

Whi current. Numbers says youre wrong. 180k cases workdwide. 6t00 deaths

CarolinaCoug

3/18/20 11:21am

Tou dont get it ..so what?

CarolinaCoug

3/18/20 11:14am

Yes and no. SK and Germany have both been ahead on testing. In fact SK is

Cougar8Duck

3/18/20 2:10am

Look, I'm not trying to say that we're going to see massive deaths, I just

Cougar8Duck

3/18/20 2:13am

Will they look like the flu cirve this year?

CarolinaCoug

3/18/20 11:26am

Half their outbreak was one mega church.

EtTuKalante

3/26/20 12:15am

The scale on the US graph isn’t the same as the Italy graph.

autonomous

3/18/20 1:42am

Wow you don’t say....

kotacoug

3/18/20 1:45am

Italy locked down on 3/9 and then about a week later deaths plateaued.

Cougar8Duck

3/18/20 1:49am

It's not steeper. Check the y axis scales.

rggee

3/18/20 3:57am

No good deed goes unpunished my friend

NewMexiCoug

3/18/20 4:12am

do people really not understand this isn't "new cases"?

Checks Out

3/18/20 9:53am

We are doing more tests. . Keep in mind ~40 mil flu cases in isa

CarolinaCoug

3/18/20 10:40am

17 days after first death: Italy 366 deaths, US 109 deaths

run26

3/18/20 11:21am

Hey, let's not brings data and facts into this thing.

wabluecoug

3/18/20 11:23am

Do you realize the population of the US is 5 1/2 times that of Italy?

TrueBlue67

3/18/20 11:31am

You can spin this however you want, of course cases are going to go up with testing but deaths remains low when compared

Nuke

3/18/20 11:35am

this this this this

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