Why do you hope you're way off on such a quick peak?

Mar 21, 2020
4:37:11pm

JmThms Truly Addicted User

I was listening to an infectious disease doc today who guessed that they would start to ease "mitigation measures" , i.e. economic shutdown, in 3 to 5 months.

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JmThms

Bio page: JmThms
Joined: Jul 4, 2012
Last login: Dec 19, 2020
Total posts: 13,784 (11 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

my basic statistical analysis says Covid peaks around April 1st 289,249 cases

newbie

3/21/20 4:27pm

Thanks...you running the CDC now?

Lifi

3/21/20 4:29pm

Couldn’t do much worse

Saxa

3/21/20 4:36pm

I wish. They are so totally one-sided. No pragmatism at all.

RugbyCoug

3/21/20 4:36pm

Why do you hope you're way off on such a quick peak?

JmThms

3/21/20 4:37pm

Ha, he's an idiot. They'll start in a week. If these measures are in place for

Harbinger

3/21/20 4:38pm

That's my thinking. Nation can't take this hit more than a few weeks.

JmThms

3/21/20 4:50pm

Remember all of the studies where people don't have the cash to withstand a $500

Harbinger

3/21/20 4:53pm

I hope the peak is sooner and smaller

newbie

3/21/20 4:38pm

Don’t trust China, they had cases at least in early December.

Tygger

3/21/20 4:37pm

Yes - but their spike didn't start until late January

newbie

3/21/20 4:40pm

Anyone who thinks the China data is legitimate is out of their mind

Lifi

3/21/20 4:41pm

FYI - Italy is planning for a 30 day spike period

newbie

3/21/20 4:47pm

Darn it! I made a big mistake on my data. I'm redoing it now.

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