I see many posts that assume death rates will drop as testing continues, and the

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Mar 25, 2020
10:59:17pm

chilango Intervention Needed

I see many posts that assume death rates will drop as testing continues, and the

reality is that it usually moves in the other direction as the sick begin to die.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Mar 25, 2020 at 10:59:17pm

Message modified by chilango on Mar 25, 2020 at 10:59:45pm

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chilango

Bio page: chilango
Joined: Jul 23, 2009
Last login: Dec 27, 2020
Total posts: 25,771 (33 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Remember when South Korea’s death rate was 0.5% with extensive testing, and many

chilango

3/25/20 10:55pm

131 deaths in the whole country??? How many millions of people live in SK?

kotacoug

3/25/20 10:57pm

They’ve done a remarkable job of containing the outbreak. Probably better than

chilango

3/25/20 11:00pm

I think as you see Covid run it’s course most countries

kotacoug

3/25/20 11:10pm

The US has a major obesity problem though, and obesity is a complicating factor

ryebrye

3/26/20 5:55am

Is your point “I’m right, you’re wrong”? Because that’s how you framed it.

StantonMac

3/25/20 10:57pm

I see many posts that assume death rates will drop as testing continues, and the

chilango

3/25/20 10:59pm

Among the tested. That is the death rate.

RalphWiggam

3/25/20 11:00pm

They’ve had the largest and most comprehensive testing program of any country

chilango

3/25/20 11:02pm

It is a country of 50 million people. Of course they haven’t caught everyone.

RalphWiggam

3/25/20 11:05pm

Exactly. SK is probably showing what that true mortality rate is for the virus.

kotacoug

3/25/20 11:14pm

How many tests have been negative??

AZPTCOUG

3/25/20 11:00pm

They’ve done a great job of containing the virus. But my post was about the

chilango

3/25/20 11:03pm

Early on everyone and their mother got tested. Once the data was available then

jholling

3/25/20 11:07pm

If we get to 400,00 known and 1.5% die

BYU71

3/25/20 11:07pm

Direct from cdc flu...has 2% death rate and infects millioms

3/26/20 12:24am

You missed a decimal. CDC says the seasonal flu death rate is about 0.1%.

chilango

3/26/20 12:26am

So still less than the flu kills every year? Just asking why we're ok with that

ManicBlue

3/26/20 1:35am

BM NYC and New Orleans

chilango

3/26/20 1:46am

Are you saying they're approaching 23,000 deaths already? Because that's where

ManicBlue

3/26/20 2:32am

I’m saying that when those hospitalizations and deaths happen all at once, it is

chilango

3/26/20 8:11am

I get that but the focus and panic being caused by this new virus is also

ManicBlue

3/26/20 10:53am

Is your point that no one knew anything then and no one knows anything now, even

kcca

3/25/20 11:22pm

Sure, I don’t disagree that we don’t know a lot and have much to learn about

chilango

3/25/20 11:26pm

Us Death rate up to about the same 1.5% when previously was hovering closer to

akmewg

3/25/20 11:41pm

You do know that the percentage is based on those tested, right?

byu1

3/25/20 11:41pm

Yes, which is why people have been watching South Korea so closely. They have

chilango

3/25/20 11:48pm

You guys all calculate death rate incorrectly. If a patient still actively has

kimdaddy35

3/26/20 2:58am

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