So the new cases coming in is seen as linear with all the current lockdowns and controls in place.

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(20)30073-6/fulltext

With continued lockdowns in place throughout April the English believe they can reduce the 2020 caseload by 30-50% and hopefully we can have a cure ready by that time.

As I have followed the CDCs data and modeling guidelines I have realized that just looking at the numbers of infected and recovering day in and day out, or looking at the # of deaths each day is what got us into this mess of locking everything down. South Korea looked at the early epidemiology models (When deaths around the world were <100) and they put the clamp down.

In the South Korea models they looked at the Ro (R-knot), Natural immunity, and Case Fatality Ratio and put the entire country on lockdown. . . All the other data was not available. Here in America we had to see Italy get 10,000 cases and over 1,000 deaths before we did anything. . . The Ro and Case fatality ratio has been teh same the whole time.