Apr 6, 2020
9:12:00am
9:12:00am
There were no consequences to your prediction.
It was costless. Unfortunately, the real decision makers weren't blessed with the same luxury.. especially given the fat tails and the unknown factors (which you yourself admit).
Maybe the extreme measures caused your "accurate" prediction.
You may have been smarter than everyone else. Honestly, I wouldn't take too much credit. It sounds like you got lucky.
Thank goodness.
Maybe the extreme measures caused your "accurate" prediction.
You may have been smarter than everyone else. Honestly, I wouldn't take too much credit. It sounds like you got lucky.
Thank goodness.
Originally posted on Apr 6, 2020 at 9:12:00am
Message modified by a priori on Apr 6, 2020 at 9:12:45am
Message modified by a priori on Apr 6, 2020 at 9:13:23am
Message modified by a priori on Apr 6, 2020 at 9:14:22am
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