Apr 7, 2020
7:05:53am
7:05:53am
GIGO "Garbage In = Garbage out" must be true as far as this model goes (as with all models)... just wish I knew what crap they were feeding it and if the current crap is better than the old crap.
As you can see in the parent thread, Bama was predicted, as of last Friday, to have 7334 total deaths (2nd only to NY) and to be tops in the nation in deaths per capita at one death per every 668 residents.
Over the weekend they revised that down to 923 deaths. Thats about EIGHT times lower.
Tons of other wild and massive swings.
They now predict 81K total deaths in USA,... down from 93K on the April 2 data.
I'm guessing it's actually in 50K - 60K range when all is said and done.
https://twitter.com/jjfuller72/status/1247508627587510278
Here are the articles discussing it, but the first article is based on the April 1st model which had Bama with around 5K deaths. The next day they upped that to 7K deaths.
As you can see in the parent thread, Bama was predicted, as of last Friday, to have 7334 total deaths (2nd only to NY) and to be tops in the nation in deaths per capita at one death per every 668 residents.
Over the weekend they revised that down to 923 deaths. Thats about EIGHT times lower.
Tons of other wild and massive swings.
They now predict 81K total deaths in USA,... down from 93K on the April 2 data.
I'm guessing it's actually in 50K - 60K range when all is said and done.
https://twitter.com/jjfuller72/status/1247508627587510278
Here are the articles discussing it, but the first article is based on the April 1st model which had Bama with around 5K deaths. The next day they upped that to 7K deaths.
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Not all science is created equal. Where does modeled science rank? (panguitch, Apr 7, 2020 at 10:12am)
Other Related Threads:
Why is Bama #1? Looks like a serious lack of ICU beds will be a big issue. (Tare, Apr 5, 2020 at 5:34pm)
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