And no upsets of Ohio State. Then, we're in.
The most likely loss is Florida losing to Georgia on 11/7.
Also, I think A&M will lose one more road game, either to South Carolina, Tennessee, or Auburn.
Miami is less clear. They could still lose @NC State or @Virginia Tech or to UNC. But, if they win those games, they stay ahead of us.
I could also see Notre Dame lose a couple of games. They did not look great against Louisville. The Irish will lose to Clemson on 11/7 and could lose to Pitt this weekend or to Boston College or UNC on the road in November.