has a better chance than Clemson does. I know it sounds good because the public wants to believe but do we really think they have a better chance than Clemson does? I would expect that if Clemson, Florida or Oregon win out they all jump ahead of Cincinnati and I highly doubt that the teams ahead of them drop below them even with one loss against a top 10 team. Don't get me wrong, I'm all for it I just don't believe it.

Also to even pretend that BYU has a 14% chance feels dishonest. If every team listed there loses 2 more games than maybe. What are the odds of that happening? Not 14%. The only chance we have is to schedule a last minute top 10 team and win plus likely another good team. There might be a chance if we schedule and beat two top 25 teams but even that seems unlikely unless we really pummel them.