I have a fundamental problem with preseason oddsmaking, but especially when you don't know who the starting QB is

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Jun 14, 2021
1:39:50pm

Indy Coug Loquacious Lummox

I have a fundamental problem with preseason oddsmaking, but especially when you don't know who the starting QB is

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Indy Coug

Bio page: Indy Coug
Joined: Dec 20, 2001
Last login: May 3, 2024
Total posts: 184,837 (9,838 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

% chance for a BYU football win in each game

elkocougar

6/14/21 1:35pm

Utah is way too high.

allaboutthegainz

6/14/21 1:39pm

So is ASU. Arizona is probably too low

TEXAS

6/14/21 1:50pm

Agree, ASU will be the best tea mon the schedule 20-25% at best

ALC

6/14/21 8:39pm

Best team but because of Utah voodoo not the least likely win

TEXAS

6/14/21 9:42pm

Fair point

ALC

6/15/21 8:51am

Utah is really in our head. I guess a decade of losses will do that.

Forzaitalia

6/14/21 3:37pm

Why? If you watched any of their games last year, they didn't look amazing. They

OldFogey

6/14/21 4:40pm

Were just awoken out of a 10 year coma?

TEXAS

6/14/21 4:41pm

Not blind to yesteryear, homey. Just telling you what I saw last year

OldFogey

6/14/21 5:15pm

I have a fundamental problem with preseason oddsmaking, but especially when you don't know who the starting QB is

Indy Coug

6/14/21 1:39pm

Some of those look a little high. This is how I'd rate them:

ReyOso

6/14/21 1:44pm

If we beat Wazzu, VA, and Boise, that would be a good year.

Backcountry

6/14/21 1:47pm

ESPN's FPI has us winning 7-8 games, with the 5 most likely losses being:

cougarfan84

6/14/21 1:57pm

My opinion on 5 tu

lbmango

6/14/21 7:33pm

I want to know if we are declared the winners of the PAC-12 South if we beat

Pangare

6/14/21 3:30pm

That ends up as 7.85 wins predicted...

krindorr

6/14/21 3:30pm

Seems about right to me actually

6/14/21 4:28pm

Individual games = too little information. Overall, seems fair.

CosmoK

6/14/21 4:36pm

I think this is the year we beat Utah. I think we lose one odd easy game and get killed by USC and Baylor and Virginia.

EternalOptimism

6/14/21 4:56pm

Arizona State?

krindorr

6/14/21 5:01pm

I actually hoped Utah would get a lot more love with all the returners

Gathers

6/14/21 5:49pm

As a statistician, not an odds-maker the actual chance to win is 100% for...

LEDSFW

6/14/21 6:29pm

Are you an actuary?

ParentingNotForSissy

6/14/21 6:50pm

Not even remotely

Indy Coug

6/15/21 7:34am

Is Georgia southern very good? Only 90%?

Dan

6/14/21 8:00pm

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