if BYU doesn't have someone with probabilities ready alla Moneyball style we need to invest in that. There is no way the probabilities favor going for the TD on 4th and 5 down 13 with that much time left in the game. The main issue was not the defense it was turning the ball over. Boise State only had one possession over 6 min, one over 5, one over 4 and the rest under 3.