Most 4th down decision making models out there for College Football and NFL are pretty aggressive based on EPA. I mean look at ESPN’s win probability model after the 3rd down play, it was predicting a Boise win at 92%. Lastly, the feeling the whole game was our defense just couldn’t get any negative plays and was unpredictable on when they could get themselves off the field. I felt it when I was in the stadium and I bet Kalani had a similar feeling. It his job to read the feeling and vibe of his team during the game and go with what he thinks is the best chance we can pull out a W.