This is considering the impact of teams/winning losing, along with the likelihood of that actually happening. Bottom line, tody's CCG is easily the most interesting one from a big picture standpoint
- PAC: #4 USC vs #11 Utah
Possibility of Upset: Relatively high (USC favored by only 2.5)
Impact: Large impact to both playoff and NY6
with USC win: USC to playoffs; Utah out of NY6; Washington into Rose Bowl
with USC loss: USC out of playoffs; Ohio St into playoffs; Utah to Rose Bowl; Washington out of NY6; USC to Cotton Bowl...or completely out of NY6 with LSU or possibly Purdue win.
- AAC: #18 Tulane vs #22 UCF
Possibility of Upset: Medium/Low (Tulane favored by 4)
Impact: Limited impact to NY6
with Tulane win: Tulane to Cotton Bowl; UCF out of NY6
with Tulane loss: Tulane out of NY6; UCF to Cotton Bowl
- ACC: #9 Clemson vs #23 North Carolina
Possibility of Upset: Low (Clemson favored by 7.5)
Impact: Limited impact to NY6
with Clemson win: Clemson to Orange Bowl; North Carolina out of NY6
with Clemson loss: Clemson out of NY6; North Carolina to Orange Bowl
- Big 12: #3 TCU vs #10 Kansas St
Possibility of Upset: Medium (TCU favored by only 2.5)
Impact: Almost no impact
with TCU win: TCU to playoffs; Kansas St to Sugar Bowl
with TCU loss: probably still TCU to playoffs; Kansas St to Sugar Bowl... even if tOSU does jump TCU for playoff spot, no further downrange impacts to NY6 participants
- SEC: #1 Georgia vs #14 LSU
Possibility of Upset: Very low (Georgia favored by 17.5)
Impact: Large impact to NY6
with Georgia win: Georgia to playoff; Alabama to Sugar Bowl; LSU to non-NY6
with Georgia loss: Georgia still in playoff; LSU jumps into NY6, likely knocking out Penn St or (if USC also loses) either Tennessee or USC.
- B1G: #2 Michigan vs Purdue
Possibility of Upset: Very low (Michigan favored by 17)
Impact: Large impact to NY6
with Michigan win: Michigan to playoff; Ohio St/Penn St to Sugar Bowl, other to playoffs/NY6; Purdue not in NY6
with Michigan loss: Michigan still in playoff; Purdue jumps into NY6, likely knocking out Penn St or (if USC also loses) either Tennessee or USC.
- MAC: Ohio vs Toledo
Possibility of Upset: High (7-5 Toledo is actually favored by 3 over 9-3 Ohio)
Impact: Zero impact
with Ohio win: Ohio MAC champs
with Ohio loss: Toledo MAC champs
- MWC: Boise St vs Fresno St
Possibility of Upset: Medium (Boise St favored by 3)
Impact: Zero Impact
with Boise St win: Boise St MWC Champs
with Boise St loss: Fresno St MWC champs
- SunBelt: Troy vs Coastal Carolina
Possibility of Upset: Low (Troy favored by 8.5)
Impact: Zero Impact
with Troy win: Troy SunBelt champs
with Troy loss: Coastal Carolina SunBelt champs
- CUSA: UTSA vs North Texas
Possibility of Upset: Low (UTSA favored by 8.5)
Impact: Zero Impact
with UTSA win: UTSA CUSA Champs
with UTSA loss: North Texas CUSA champs