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Mar 18, 2009
3:56
:12
pm
PaxDog
Yep you are bad at probability
you even messed up the Deal or No Deal dilemma. Your scenario is ONLY valid if the host eliminates all the other cases knowing which one is correct. I wonder if I just fell for a probability troll...
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PaxDog
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PaxDog
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Jan 19, 2006
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Messages
Author
Time
Personally I hate probabilities..comes from my ACT
Fdnman
3/18/09 3:52pm
Yep you are bad at probability
PaxDog
3/18/09 3:56pm
So if the host eliminated all the others knowingly
Fdnman
3/18/09 4:13pm
yes
PaxDog
3/18/09 4:19pm
But if they're random, it's 50/50.
squidmark
3/18/09 5:10pm
sounds like a dead horse
bdoggy
3/18/09 3:57pm
See...I told you I was confused...and I still am
Fdnman
3/18/09 4:03pm
<nelson voice=""> ha ha</nelson>
cracka
3/18/09 4:04pm
Monty Hall explanation
Fdnman
3/18/09 4:07pm
Thanks.
crack
3/18/09 4:15pm
It's 50/50 if you're down to the final 2
cougfanblue
3/18/09 3:59pm
Not exactly
Cougar-Duck
3/18/09 5:30pm
Watch the movie 21. This same problem was brought
UltimateBYUfan
3/18/09 4:19pm
Sorry, I was meaning the Monty Hall explanation
UltimateBYUfan
3/18/09 4:22pm
If the case you CHOSE has a 1/20 chance, then the
squidmark
3/18/09 5:09pm
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