Here are some examples week 1:
Louisiana-Monroe over Wake Forest
Temple over Vanderbilt
Syracuse 1 point over Villanova
Colorado St over Colorado
NDSU over Iowa St
NCSU 1 point over Georgia Southern
Washington 1 point over Hawaii
More sure wins:
TT 8 points over Central Arkansas
Iowa 8 points over Northern Iowa
Purdue 8 points over Western Michigan
These are all sucky P5 schools vs sucky G5 schools (excluding TT) it is not like you have BSU, SDSU, HU, or Tulsa's beating P5 schools. According to P5 theory these games shouldn't even be close.