a fortuitous blocked FG comes to mind, as well as PI calls, etc. that benefited Utah over that span. There were a couple of blowouts in Utah's favor, but the close games went both ways so you can't eliminate 4th and 18 from history without eliminating the blocked chip shot field goal as well. If anything, all of the close games indicate how close the two programs have been over the last 15 years. The last 4 have gone in Utah's favor, but I wouldn't say all of those Utah teams were necessarily better teams than BYU. Sometimes the weaker team wins (by weaker, I mean the team whose body of evidence over the whole year indicates they are not as good, but clearly on that day the better team wins).

I don't see any evidence to suggest that Utah would smoke BYU this season. If the teams were slated to play this week then I'd guess it would be a great game that would probably go in Utah's favor based on KWs mental edge against Bronco (as evidenced by the last 4 years) even though I don't think Utah is as good a team (as evidenced by their performance to date and RPI). I would not be surprised by a BYU loss, but I would certainly not predict a blowout victory for Utah based on what I've seen this year from both teams.