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Mar 29, 2020
2:22
:22
pm
Zoobieman
Truly Addicted User
I hope you are right my man.
But sadly I don't think Italy has peaked.
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Zoobieman
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Zoobieman
Joined
Apr 23, 2012
Last login
Jun 18, 2024
Total posts
10,694 (30 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Models of Italy and Spain for the next 6 weeks
Zoobieman
3/29/20 1:53pm
<< Deleted >>
carlstud
3/29/20 1:54pm
How can you have a peak so long as R0 is above 1.0? It's going to grow.
ReyOso
3/29/20 1:57pm
The R0 really matters in the beginning when nobody has antibodies and there's a vulnerable population for it to spread
Mike Honcho
3/29/20 2:14pm
R0 is the infection rate at the beginning of the spread.
Zoobieman
3/29/20 2:20pm
Italy already hit its peak. They won't have more than 20k deaths.
CSoul
3/29/20 1:59pm
I hope you are right my man.
Zoobieman
3/29/20 2:22pm
Model for Italy if they peaked already
Zoobieman
3/29/20 4:06pm
Why the low CFR in your model?
StalwartBraveTrue
3/29/20 5:14pm
Wow, the subject of your post really over-promised and under-delivered.
garyfan
3/29/20 2:00pm
A nice super model or Ferrari model car would look better!
Zoobieman
3/29/20 2:17pm
Not even a single unibrow model
JackStack
3/29/20 2:18pm
You have more people dying in Spain by halving the infection rate than without.
ReyOso
3/29/20 2:01pm
I am sorry, I posted the wrong image. Fixed.
Zoobieman
3/29/20 2:20pm
Update a week later. I am glad I was wrong.
Zoobieman
4/4/20 3:52pm
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