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Jan 16, 2016
6:53
:06
am
roseyscenario
All-American
+1. Blain Fowler said on BYU SN that BYU dances with 14-4 WCC +2 in tourney. He may called him beyond ludicrous.
i tend to agree with Fowler. My guess is BYU has 75% chance of NCAAs with 16-4 the rest of the way, and 90%+ at 17-4.
Also, i expect Gonzaga, SMC and BYU to all lose at least 1 to an opponent among the other 7 teams in WCC play.
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roseyscenario
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roseyscenario
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The transformation continues: State of 2015-2016 season. On track for 26 wins and an NCAA bid. Utes won't make NCAAs.
roseyscenario
All-American
1/15/16 11:36am
Unless Utah gets really abused in Conference play they are probably in
ayfan
1/15/16 11:40am
the PAC is going to be a jumbled mess of .500 records in conference play
BYUheaven
1/15/16 11:46am
A 10-8 Utah probably gets in. A 9-9 Utah gets in if they win a couple in the
jreid191
1/15/16 11:57am
Agreed. But, I expect the Utes to go 7-11 in PAC 12 play.
roseyscenario
1/15/16 12:01pm
Wins over TTU, BYU, Duke, SDSU, Colorado.....and they still have a lot of
thebruce
1/15/16 11:45am
Well, they are going to have to get it with 14 losses. And Pomeroy has them at a paltry #67 right now.
roseyscenario
1/15/16 11:50am
The committee has been notorious for leaving out teams on losing streaks
BYUheaven
1/15/16 11:54am
well - obviously if they go on a massive losing streak that changes things
thebruce
1/15/16 12:48pm
Utah RPI = 35. BYU = 55. If the
ALUF 1990
1/15/16 12:03pm
BYU Pomeroy = 43. Utah = 69. BYU is trending higher, Utes lower. Chances of Utes going 9-9 = slim.
roseyscenario
1/15/16 12:07pm
Odds of Utah making it are much higher than BYU
CougAdventurer
1/15/16 12:07pm
Nope, a lot of prediction modules have them finishing conference play at 8-10
BYUheaven
1/15/16 12:12pm
If they go 8-10 then they'd probably need to advance to the CCG to make it
jreid191
1/15/16 12:20pm
the odds of Utah getting to 9-9 are probably better than the odds of BYU
unctoothman
1/15/16 12:20pm
You'll be hard pressed to find anyone agree that BYU must go undefeated to make NCAAs. Expect 15-3 in WCC will dance.
roseyscenario
1/15/16 12:26pm
and the "odds" actually favor us as the winner of every game from here on out
BYUheaven
1/15/16 12:29pm
+1. Blain Fowler said on BYU SN that BYU dances with 14-4 WCC +2 in tourney. He may called him beyond ludicrous.
roseyscenario
1/16/16 6:53am
17-3 (which likely includes a Zags loss) means one win at most against an RPI
unctoothman
1/15/16 1:05pm
There'd be at least 2 RPI top-50 wins if we win 17 conference games
jreid191
1/15/16 2:43pm
Gonzaga and who? BYU and Zags beat SMC and they are not a top 50 team.
unctoothman
1/15/16 2:53pm
If St. Mary's goes 15-3 in conference they'll probably be top 40 in RPI.
jreid191
1/15/16 3:03pm
Perhaps in part because BYU was 35 on Pomeroy, which is carrying more weight every year.
roseyscenario
1/15/16 2:55pm
They have to stay .500 or above and they are fine. If they slip under .500 then
BYUheaven
1/15/16 12:08pm
Where do I signup for your newsletter
Jennerstein
1/15/16 12:13pm
Thanks. It's mostly in Pomeroy and my favorite unnamed leadership guru.
roseyscenario
1/15/16 12:16pm
If BYU plays defense in every game the rest of the season like they did
unctoothman
1/15/16 12:17pm
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