You're implying that it is more likely that Byu will win 15 games than it is that they improve. I have no idea what you are basing that on but if you look at the history of Byu under DAVE Rose, it is definitely more likely that they improve than they drop all the way to 15 games. Last year was the worst year in recent memory and they still won more than 20 games. How in the world do you believe that it would be more likely that they would win only 15 games than they improve. What do you base this on? Be pessimistic if you want to be pessimistic but think before you post.