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Sep 23, 2018
9:46
:46
pm
Lalau
Starter
Yeah, I don't feel good about that game but I still think >50% chance we win
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Lalau
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Lalau
Joined
Mar 3, 2012
Last login
May 4, 2024
Total posts
3,426 (1 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Updated S&P+ win distribution chart for BYU
Gustav
9/23/18 8:01pm
Hope we beat those odds.
Mr. Scoobs
9/23/18 8:04pm
Cool
Blueto
9/23/18 8:07pm
So they’re saying it’s more likely that we’ll only win 1 more game than that
chilango
9/23/18 8:12pm
.1% chance at getting to 11 wins...
Natedog916
9/23/18 8:41pm
I believe in math, I really do...but this chart doesn’t make sense
byuguns55
9/23/18 8:56pm
The probability of winning two games will always be lower than the probability
chilango
9/23/18 9:05pm
Good point...so this chart is purely mathematical then
byuguns55
9/23/18 9:08pm
Yes, see the post below.
chilango
9/23/18 9:12pm
Yes. Whenever you multiply anything by less than one, the number is smaller.
Lalau
9/23/18 9:07pm
It’s is interesting that they think we’ll probably lose to USU
chilango
9/23/18 9:16pm
That was the one that really stuck out to me. Underdogs to Utah State at home?
colton
9/23/18 9:36pm
Yeah, I don't feel good about that game but I still think >50% chance we win
Lalau
9/23/18 9:46pm
7-8 wins is the most likely scenario, eh? I can live with that.
Lalau
9/23/18 9:10pm
I'm still pulling for 9, but won't be disappointed with 8.
Benfica1
9/23/18 9:13pm
I guess I’ve gotten greedy. At this point, I think I would be disappointed with
chilango
9/23/18 9:31pm
I set my pre-season expectations at 6-7, so I'm happy if we beat that.
Lalau
9/23/18 9:48pm
If we lost to UW, Utah state, Boise st, and Utah it would suck.
Mr. Scoobs
9/23/18 9:20pm
Yes in that we didn't reach the full potential that we've shown, but still
Lalau
9/23/18 9:51pm
So highly probable we win 7. And a 50/50 shot at beating USU and getting 8.
GOR
9/23/18 9:29pm
If this actually played out it would be a depressing finish.
Mr. Scoobs
9/23/18 9:42pm
Dang it someone laughed. Did I fail at math again?
GOR
9/23/18 9:42pm
All I have to say is the credit rating agencies caused the recession
Heath Squashwell
9/23/18 10:17pm
Beat UW and the numbers here will change drastically
Hill4Heisman
9/24/18 12:21am
If you would have told me we had 7-8 wins at the beginning of the season,
BluebloodOR
9/24/18 12:25am
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