Yes in that we didn't reach the full potential that we've shown, but still

Sep 23, 2018
9:51:56pm

Lalau Starter

better than what most of us expected before the season began. I'm holding tightly to my preseason expectations to be fair to the team, and to not set myself up to be unsatisfied with anything less than an exceptional year.

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Lalau

Bio page: Lalau
Joined: Mar 3, 2012
Last login: May 4, 2024
Total posts: 3,426 (1 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Updated S&P+ win distribution chart for BYU

Gustav

9/23/18 8:01pm

Hope we beat those odds.

Mr. Scoobs

9/23/18 8:04pm

Cool

Blueto

9/23/18 8:07pm

So they’re saying it’s more likely that we’ll only win 1 more game than that

chilango

9/23/18 8:12pm

.1% chance at getting to 11 wins...

Natedog916

9/23/18 8:41pm

I believe in math, I really do...but this chart doesn’t make sense

byuguns55

9/23/18 8:56pm

The probability of winning two games will always be lower than the probability

chilango

9/23/18 9:05pm

Good point...so this chart is purely mathematical then

byuguns55

9/23/18 9:08pm

Yes, see the post below.

chilango

9/23/18 9:12pm

Yes. Whenever you multiply anything by less than one, the number is smaller.

Lalau

9/23/18 9:07pm

It’s is interesting that they think we’ll probably lose to USU

chilango

9/23/18 9:16pm

That was the one that really stuck out to me. Underdogs to Utah State at home?

colton

9/23/18 9:36pm

Yeah, I don't feel good about that game but I still think >50% chance we win

Lalau

9/23/18 9:46pm

7-8 wins is the most likely scenario, eh? I can live with that.

Lalau

9/23/18 9:10pm

I'm still pulling for 9, but won't be disappointed with 8.

Benfica1

9/23/18 9:13pm

I guess I’ve gotten greedy. At this point, I think I would be disappointed with

chilango

9/23/18 9:31pm

I set my pre-season expectations at 6-7, so I'm happy if we beat that.

Lalau

9/23/18 9:48pm

If we lost to UW, Utah state, Boise st, and Utah it would suck.

Mr. Scoobs

9/23/18 9:20pm

Yes in that we didn't reach the full potential that we've shown, but still

Lalau

9/23/18 9:51pm

So highly probable we win 7. And a 50/50 shot at beating USU and getting 8.

GOR

9/23/18 9:29pm

If this actually played out it would be a depressing finish.

Mr. Scoobs

9/23/18 9:42pm

Dang it someone laughed. Did I fail at math again?

GOR

9/23/18 9:42pm

All I have to say is the credit rating agencies caused the recession

Heath Squashwell

9/23/18 10:17pm

Beat UW and the numbers here will change drastically

Hill4Heisman

9/24/18 12:21am

If you would have told me we had 7-8 wins at the beginning of the season,

BluebloodOR

9/24/18 12:25am

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