I wouldn’t necessarily give the advantage to Utah there. Tuipolotu who was hurt before the season started and a couple RMs who look pretty good could make this a push as well.
Much closer than your post would seem to make it appear. I would also say BYUs O line will be much better than Utah’s next year.
It could be argued as well that 4 star LB Chaz Ah You will be as good as Utah’s Lloyd next year with BYUs LB depth much better.