day-to-day totals are often affected by statistical noise

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Mar 27, 2020
11:38:33am

Psalm Trees All-American

day-to-day totals are often affected by statistical noise

Looking at a moving average over a period of 3 or more days will give you a clearer picture of the overarching trend.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Mar 27, 2020 at 11:38:33am

Message modified by Psalm Trees on Mar 27, 2020 at 11:39:22am

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Psalm Trees

Previous username: Yoshinobu
Bio page: Psalm Trees
Joined: Nov 2, 2008
Last login: Apr 28, 2024
Total posts: 15,244 (782 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

I downloaded daily stats from Worldometer for the U.S.

coolcats

3/27/20 11:25am

March 21-24 was a concerning trend, but the net change in deaths may be plateauing now. fingers crossed, as always

Bob Vance

3/27/20 11:26am

We've increased 5-fold in a week. That doesn't look like a plateau.

ReyOso

3/27/20 11:30am

if you follow the curve from the beginning until today on net change in deaths, it has been the same level

Bob Vance

3/27/20 12:52pm

day-to-day totals are often affected by statistical noise

Psalm Trees

3/27/20 11:38am

of course.

Bob Vance

3/27/20 12:51pm

I hope it doesn't go over 3,000. Very, very

BYU71

3/27/20 11:27am

Deaths per day is the only reliable stat currently.

PJMort

3/27/20 11:29am

Yep.

3/27/20 11:38am

Washington state is likely near the end

Busiturtle

3/27/20 11:32am

I keep this in a Google sheet if anyone wants it

jkccoug

3/27/20 12:52pm

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