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Apr 1, 2020
12:20:07pm

cougfanz Truly Addicted User

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cougfanz

Previous username: ndfan
Bio page: cougfanz
Joined: May 15, 2011
Last login: May 7, 2024
Total posts: 18,019 (1 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

US fatality rate (minus NY) holding steady under 1.5% while NY's is increasing daily, unfortunately.

Bob Vance Truly Addicted User

4/1/20 12:01pm

Keeping in mind NY fatalities are 40% of the national number

Indy Coug

4/1/20 12:03pm

What numbers are being included for today already?

chago04

4/1/20 12:03pm

<< Deleted >>

Bob Vance

4/1/20 1:19pm

It shows that as the hospital systems become overwhelmed the death rate rises

flyzag

4/1/20 12:04pm

Does it?

The Old Y

4/1/20 12:05pm

No.

cougfanz

4/1/20 12:20pm

This

Blueto

4/1/20 12:05pm

Can we agree that percentages are unreliable when the denominator is unknown?

PJMort

4/1/20 12:20pm

Can we agree that if we have a KNOWN pool of infected persons, the rate is

flyzag

4/1/20 12:27pm

But what does that really tell us? For some unknown x% of people who we know about, y% of them die

Indy Coug

4/1/20 12:28pm

I think it provides a hint at medical capacity

Bob Vance

4/1/20 1:26pm

Could we not say this about ANY disease? Unless 100% of pop is tested?

flyzag

4/1/20 1:39pm

Yeah Indy! When are you going to learn about statistics?

PJMort

4/1/20 1:43pm

I know right... if anybody knows about random sampling... AND

flyzag

4/1/20 1:50pm

This isn't random sampling. These are self-selecting data points. If you know of a credible effort

Indy Coug

4/1/20 2:00pm

Not really. The OP compares "Fatality Rates" between NY and rest of the US.

PJMort

4/1/20 1:33pm

Death rate STILL cannot be calculated until everyone in the

kimdaddy35

4/1/20 12:49pm

I readily concede this is not the actual fatality rate for the disease. I find it troubling that

Bob Vance

4/1/20 2:14pm

At least one N.Y. Doctor indicated they weren’t testing obvious patients

PJMort

4/1/20 3:19pm

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