have supposed. It shows that from March 1 to May 1, 781,000 people died in the U.S., representing about 122,000 more than normal. We attributed 95,235 to Covid 19 or a difference of 27,000 more deaths. If that were all, I think I would just move on. But the study goes on to explain that that was for ALL of the U.S. If you take the hotspots--NYC, for example, they reported 3 times more deaths than normal about 39,000 vs 13,000. Of the difference, about 25% went unreported.

Apparently the stats line up in areas where there were hotspots, which supports the conclusions of the study. No evidence is provided, but the author does not think deaths from people not going to the hospital for other reasons because they were afraid of Covid 19 was significant. Would be interesting to see some data that helped us figure out if there is anything significant there or with suicided etc. My guess is that suicides are up, but not by very much.

However--after all this--if we've undercounted deaths in covid-19 hotspots by 25%, we're still talking about a very small morbidity rate. I've been .4% (and even lower) this would raise it some but don't think a ton. If I did my math correctly it would increase from .4 to .48%

here's the link to the study