Dec 10, 2021
1:09:20pm
1:09:20pm
Thank you!! But we need to make sure we’re not comparing apples to oranges
Based on the data in your first paragraph (the first article linked), it appears that the risk of COVID-caused myocarditis is about 13x greater than the risk of vaccine-caused myocarditis (0.1000% / 0.0076%).
The problem with this myocarditis comparison is that it appears to not take into account the overall risk of being infected with COVID.
In order to compare apples to apples, we have to revise the 0.1% risk of COVID-caused myocarditis by factoring in the overall risk of being infected with COVID at all.
If the risk of contracting COVID is less than 1 in 13, then the myocarditis risk is a wash.
(*** My guess is that the risk of contracting COVID is much higher than 7.7%, which means that COVID-caused myocarditis is still much more likely than vaccine-caused myocarditis.)
One thing not discussed in all of this is whether or not the risk of COVID-caused myocarditis is decreased in vaccinated individuals. This matter a lot because the data indicates that vaccination—while very effective at decreasing the severity of symptoms—doesn’t do much to lower the overall risk of infection.
The problem with this myocarditis comparison is that it appears to not take into account the overall risk of being infected with COVID.
In order to compare apples to apples, we have to revise the 0.1% risk of COVID-caused myocarditis by factoring in the overall risk of being infected with COVID at all.
If the risk of contracting COVID is less than 1 in 13, then the myocarditis risk is a wash.
(*** My guess is that the risk of contracting COVID is much higher than 7.7%, which means that COVID-caused myocarditis is still much more likely than vaccine-caused myocarditis.)
One thing not discussed in all of this is whether or not the risk of COVID-caused myocarditis is decreased in vaccinated individuals. This matter a lot because the data indicates that vaccination—while very effective at decreasing the severity of symptoms—doesn’t do much to lower the overall risk of infection.
Originally posted on Dec 10, 2021 at 1:09:20pm
Message modified by MormonDevil on Dec 10, 2021 at 1:11:01pm
Message modified by MormonDevil on Dec 10, 2021 at 1:13:06pm
- Previous username
- Chareth Cutestory
- Bio page
- MormonDevil
- Joined
- Jan 22, 2003
- Last login
- Feb 15, 2022
- Total posts
- 21,955 (3,808 FO)
Messages
Time
12/8/21 9:12pm
12/8/21 9:26pm
12/8/21 9:28pm
12/8/21 9:13pm
12/8/21 9:17pm
12/8/21 9:14pm
12/8/21 9:15pm
12/8/21 9:16pm
12/8/21 10:46pm
12/8/21 11:20pm