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Sep 30, 2022
12:36:17pm

shoganai Intervention Needed

SP+ is based on efficiency models.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Sep 30, 2022 at 12:36:17pm

Message modified by shoganai on Sep 30, 2022 at 12:36:34pm

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shoganai

Bio page: shoganai
Joined: Jul 15, 2004
Last login: Apr 28, 2024
Total posts: 31,550 (790 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

What can BYU do to be competitive against ND

Archaea

9/30/22 12:04pm

Stack the box

Flippy

9/30/22 12:04pm

Yeah that's not the scheme

TNT

9/30/22 12:16pm

Start by putting more than 5 men in the box!!!

BYUforlife

9/30/22 12:04pm

RE: Start by putting more than 5 men in the box!!!

kccougar

9/30/22 12:06pm

Play defense the way they did against Baylor, max protect and throw deep on O

Coop

9/30/22 12:05pm

mix it up by dropping 8 one play, then 9 the next play.

CougarTwins

9/30/22 12:06pm

It's not a bad matchup for us if we're relatively healthy. They're more like

shoganai

9/30/22 12:06pm

ND looked strong against UNC

Archaea

9/30/22 12:07pm

UNC's defense is really bad. Worse than ours? Possibly, though not certainly.

Coop

9/30/22 12:08pm

They are far, far worse than ours. It's not really even close.

shoganai

9/30/22 12:09pm

Only four games in. Confidence intervals are really wide.

Coop

9/30/22 12:11pm

I will go on the record now with absolute certainty that our defense is far

shoganai

9/30/22 12:13pm

BYU #37. UNC #126

kccougar

9/30/22 12:10pm

If you aren't adjusting for SOS, you are wasting your time and everyone else's

Coop

9/30/22 12:12pm

Good point. As of the end of Week 4 UNC's SOS was 86th according to Sagarin.

shoganai

9/30/22 12:14pm

So what's your adjustment to your raw rankings, then?

Coop

9/30/22 12:18pm

RE: So what's your adjustment to your raw rankings, then?

StarMan

9/30/22 12:25pm

No, my responses are clearly applicable.

Coop

9/30/22 12:29pm

There will not be close to a 20-30 position swing this week unless UNC pulls out

shoganai

9/30/22 12:26pm

SP+ is an adjusted PPG, so I think we will see a decent drop there

Coop

9/30/22 12:32pm

SP+ is based on efficiency models.

shoganai

9/30/22 12:36pm

That's how he adjusts the points. But the points we gave up will still ...

Coop

9/30/22 12:41pm

If we were trying to compare #30 with #40 I'd agree. I think #37 v #126 is a valid data point

kccougar

9/30/22 12:15pm

FEI has BYU D #60 and UNC #117 after 4 games

9/30/22 12:18pm

Everybody looks strong against UNC this year.

shoganai

9/30/22 12:09pm

How many did BYU give up to lowly UsU?

Archaea

9/30/22 12:10pm

20 prior to garbage time.

shoganai

9/30/22 12:11pm

And 10 should be credited

Archaea

9/30/22 12:25pm

You mean the #126 rated defense? That UNC?

kccougar

9/30/22 12:09pm

drop 11 on pass plays. Rush 11 on run plays

Cougarclaw

9/30/22 12:07pm

food poisoning

cougar95

9/30/22 12:16pm

I like this solution

Archaea

9/30/22 12:25pm

Wear Royal.

Benfica1

9/30/22 12:25pm

Have the coaches put in some time in the prep. room so they are not surprised.

Pergamino

9/30/22 12:27pm

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