My metric for next season being a success is not embarrassing ourselves and ideally making a bowl. Mostly I want to see the seeds of positive growth.

That said, I've kind of got a bit of growing optimism from seeing what we've done in the transfer portal. There's no game that we would be completely and clearly outmatched. I described it elsewhere as two tune-ups and then ten consecutive coin-flips (or near-coinflips). Given that, I think 7 wins is the best bet, but there's a lot of variability