Shog was a solid guy. I also believe he was a retired senior citizen with way too much time on his hands and a huge desire to be perceived as someone special. There is absolutely nothing wrong with "insiders" but there is something wrong about people trying to be "insiders". I am fortunate enough to be on FO lists where legit inside info is always dispersed and appreciated. Nobody hates on a guy with legit info. People hate on a guy for terrible info who hedges all of their "insider" claims with lines like "it's fluid"... "Things change"... etc. etc.
Look, even a broke clock is right twice a day. It's even ok to theorize just don't post your opinions/theories like you just got off the phone with TH.