factors in play.

1. UVU is already larger than BYU.
2. More BYU offspring are attending other state schools. Scholarships are more readily available at state institutions.
3. BYU has gained a reputation among high schoolers (I teach high school in Utah) for being a monolithic bureaucracy, very hard for an 18 yr old freshman to navigate. AP credit is not fully recognized at BYU.
4. SVU has gained a reputation as being a very positive experience for LDS young adults.
5. BYU-I's "pathway" program will be expanded. If any there is an educational outreach by the Church, it appears to be global in nature. I doubt that the Church will increase enrollment at BYU when they may get more "bang for their buck" by using technology and bringing students in for a structured experience at institutions like BYU-I.