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Apr 4, 2020
7:58
:15
am
ReyOso
Intervention Needed
Terrific. It's working even better than we'd hoped.
Hopefully, that means we'll come out of it more quickly than we thought.
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ReyOso
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ReiUrso
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ReyOso
Joined
Aug 30, 2019
Last login
Jan 30, 2022
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Messages
Author
Time
On Monday afternoon there were 4006 National deaths. The doom and gloom bunch
travelcoug
4/3/20 10:51pm
Pretty much every model is wrong.
Brisco
4/3/20 11:00pm
Actually the same modeling theories are used for the weather and
travelcoug
4/3/20 11:03pm
I now know of three people who have died from Covid-19
Aircooled
4/3/20 11:19pm
That's nuts and goes against all the statistics. One city? Not one underlying
777
4/3/20 11:28pm
Here they are
Aircooled
4/3/20 11:41pm
Sorry to hear that. That's crazy.
777
4/3/20 11:45pm
So this information comes from three facilities violating HIPAA
BYU '80
4/4/20 12:13am
America "must" know age and if any underlying conditions were present. "Must!"
BleedCougarBlue2
4/4/20 1:01am
Boom
Misteak
4/4/20 5:59am
No
Aircooled
4/4/20 8:58am
I don't get it.
HONOMO
4/4/20 10:58am
He said he didn’t know the people well.
BYU '80
4/4/20 8:39pm
This could be but Worldometer is still reporting zero deaths in Wyoming.
Chemish
4/4/20 3:41am
Wow. Yeah, I think those who haven’t been affected are underplaying it
zerome4sooners
4/4/20 6:48am
It is horrible when it is close to you and I pray for you and their families.
travelcoug
4/3/20 11:32pm
Don’t know them personally. Sorry for the misdirection
Aircooled
4/3/20 11:42pm
Not to make light but therefore you have no idea if there were underlying
BYU '80
4/4/20 12:15am
So you heard about 3 anecdotal outliers and that may have had pre-existing
Misteak
4/4/20 6:01am
No kidding. The post is turned on it's head.
Jacksonian76
4/4/20 8:01am
Anecdotal COVID reports = “anonymous sources”
cougarnw
4/4/20 8:11am
Climate models are right on track:
Defenestrator
4/3/20 11:42pm
That's because climatologists pick and choose and fabricate their own data
DeekLyfter
4/3/20 11:53pm
If you wish to allege fraud, you are welcome to present evidence for it.
Defenestrator
4/3/20 11:55pm
You'd only explain away at it until you've convinced yourself not to believe it
DeekLyfter
4/4/20 12:01am
Or independently verify it myself. Oh wait, I've already done that:
Defenestrator
4/4/20 12:07am
Interesting
DeekLyfter
4/4/20 12:20am
Ask yourself, why don't they show a direct comparison plot of raw vs adjusted
Defenestrator
4/4/20 10:08am
The Obama epa said that if all eu and us were to go carbon free
travelcoug
4/4/20 12:16am
By the way. We want clean air and clean water so that’s not an issue
travelcoug
4/4/20 12:20am
A lot of unsourced claims and factually incorrect statements.
Defenestrator
4/4/20 10:21am
We already know NASA fabricated their models.
coolblue
4/4/20 6:54am
Not at all, and if you want to allege fraud you need to provide evidence.
Defenestrator
4/4/20 10:10am
"All models are wrong. Some models are useful." — George Box
dilbert
4/3/20 11:04pm
In seasons of rapidly changing weather, meteorological forecasts are pretty good for about two days out.
Brisco
4/3/20 11:10pm
You called it a goal? That’s really weird. It’s pretty clear the
The Dude Abides
4/3/20 11:01pm
Posters acting like people are actually disappointed that fewer people are dying than expected.
shimmy
4/3/20 11:04pm
People have to turn everything into a pissing contest these days. Pick a side and fight all the enemies - whether or not
foofcoug
4/3/20 11:10pm
You're not a fan of the same religion/location/political viewpoint/sports team as me so I will never agree with you.
shimmy
4/3/20 11:18pm
To be honest, the stakes are really high. We need to be right on this.
SnickSnack
4/4/20 12:07am
Let’s not take people to task for the use of a word. There’s too much of that on cb.
Brisco
4/3/20 11:17pm
I think it is pretty clear that word was chosen intentionally based on viewpoint. However, I agree that the viewpoint
shimmy
4/3/20 11:21pm
travelcoug has insinuated that too many times to consider this unintentional
Psalm Trees
4/3/20 11:24pm
LOL. I don't even follow my own posts that closely.
Brisco
4/4/20 12:12am
That is great news. Was the doubling every 2 days model based on ouotcomes with or without the social distancing?
shimmy
4/3/20 11:03pm
Without. (And it was 3 days IIRC)
All-American
4/3/20 11:04pm
So the social distancing efforts are resulting in significant slowing based upon travelcoug's numbers?
shimmy
4/3/20 11:06pm
That’s great! It’s working!
All-American
4/3/20 11:05pm
Hmmmm
Blueto
4/3/20 11:09pm
Freezing cold take right there
JoeExotic
4/3/20 11:14pm
Nice job on the board name change
Josef K
4/3/20 11:24pm
So he was saying what most were saying that don’t employ revisionist history
BYU '80
4/4/20 12:18am
Most weren't saying anything
JoeExotic
4/4/20 1:09am
Most? Where, on Fox News?
chilango
4/4/20 2:14am
FWIW they were talking about deaths/day, not total deaths
BYUCLA
4/3/20 11:13pm
This is true although it does look to be slowing finally
johnnybyu
4/4/20 12:25am
Number of deaths per day, and it DID double till today
jkccoug
4/3/20 11:55pm
It doubled in 2 days on 3/24 then to 3-4 days after that and then 4 days after
johnnybyu
4/4/20 12:28am
Agreed.
jkccoug
4/4/20 12:31am
The measures are working and travelcoug is disappointed. He wanted more deaths
Archaea
4/4/20 7:12am
Calling people’s predictions and projections ‘a goal’ is cheap, bush league BS.
Ikuna
4/4/20 12:28am
Let me get this straight - mofoihglkngteuhnwgoihtnoivovpovpuhvh?
ClackamasCoug
4/4/20 2:42am
Great news. Our measures seem to be working.
ReyOso
4/4/20 7:41am
The model takes into account current measures.
Bostonblue
4/4/20 7:42am
Terrific. It's working even better than we'd hoped.
ReyOso
4/4/20 7:58am
This argument
Toubibe
4/4/20 10:28am
I think you mean if we beat it, some will say there wasn't a battle to fight.
ReyOso
4/4/20 10:44am
If we beat it?
Toubibe
4/4/20 11:09am
Means the models are wrong no matter how you cut it.
Bostonblue
4/4/20 11:17am
If measures work, the complainers will state, "see we're okay." If they don't
Archaea
4/4/20 7:45am
Very true
Covid-19
4/4/20 8:31am
Also easy to be a doomsayer. No matter what happens they’ll say, “It would have
gwalker
4/4/20 8:56am
You believe statistical epidemiologists are
Archaea
4/4/20 9:09am
I think they're doing their jobs to the best of their ability. It’s their
gwalker
4/4/20 9:33am
Incomplete info makes for rough estimates
Archaea
4/4/20 10:00am
I’m afraid we already have plenty of examples of what happens without distancing
Josef K
4/4/20 10:32am
Uncertainty is for real. Some areas peak sooner. Hot spots growing elsewhere.
Celeritas
4/4/20 9:09am
Do you realize your dismissiveness is dangerous?
superdoo
4/4/20 11:14am
It is easy to make models that fit history, but the model is only useful
Jacksonian76
4/4/20 1:04pm
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