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Jan 5, 2015
11:41
:51
pm
jayriggity
I've heard this puzzle so many times, and this is the first
time that the answer has truly made sense. Excellent explanation. Bravo garyfan.
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jayriggity
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Jay Rick
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jayriggity
Joined
Feb 10, 2013
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Apr 25, 2016
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Messages
Author
Time
There are three doors before you: behind one is a million dollars in 100 dollar
OhYePoorFools
1/5/15 9:15pm
Are there really people that don't know this by now?
cheezedawg
1/5/15 9:16pm
Well, cheezedawg if you must ask, I had never heard of it until recently reading
OhYePoorFools
1/5/15 9:17pm
This should be one of the questions on the CB final exam...
Alister Mackenzie
1/5/15 9:18pm
*Entrace* exam
cheezedawg
1/5/15 9:46pm
Both have a 66% chance of having the million.
Ragnar Danneskjold
1/5/15 9:18pm
Or 50%.
GastonCoug
1/5/15 9:19pm
Here we go
jokerman
1/5/15 9:20pm
I know, right?
Ragnar Danneskjold
1/5/15 9:23pm
No, you forgot to carry the 1.
Alister Mackenzie
1/5/15 9:24pm
Each at 166%. Are your parents related or something?
Ragnar Danneskjold
1/5/15 9:28pm
But that's the gift that keeps on giving all year long
El Pasco
1/5/15 9:22pm
My sister and her husband got in a fight about this.
garyfan
1/5/15 9:24pm
Wasn't that a scene from the movie 21?
OpusX
1/5/15 9:26pm
the answer is that it is always to your advantage to switch. The trick lies in
OhYePoorFools
1/5/15 9:27pm
Assuming the host does know I agree, but what if the host does not?
BYUALWAYSNUM1
1/5/15 9:39pm
the same odds exist. If the host does not know what lies behind the doors he wil
OhYePoorFools
1/5/15 9:44pm
A better way to word it is there are greater odds that the winning door is among
OhYePoorFools
1/5/15 9:41pm
RE: A better way to word it is there are greater odds that the winning door is
joebravo
1/6/15 9:40am
No your odds improve because the host is eliminating half of the
OhYePoorFools
1/6/15 4:54pm
I know the correct answer, but I still don't understand why it is the correct
Cosmo Kramer
1/5/15 9:38pm
I'll try.
garyfan
1/5/15 9:44pm
I've heard this puzzle so many times, and this is the first
jayriggity
1/5/15 11:41pm
Interesting..
joebravo
1/6/15 9:43am
OhYePoorFools has a good summary above
cheezedawg
1/5/15 9:46pm
It seems counter-intuitive that the odds would increase, but the reason is
darkcoug
1/5/15 9:47pm
Imagine you're picking from 100 doors instead of 3.
SteveOrr
1/5/15 10:02pm
Here's the best way to understand the math of it.
maizecoug
1/5/15 11:04pm
This "question" has long been answered. ALWAYS switch your pick.
ClackamasCoug
1/5/15 9:39pm
There is no such thing as 100 million dollar bill.
idacoug
1/5/15 9:44pm
Always switch.
Talker
1/5/15 9:50pm
Here's a link to simple simulator of this situation (it's called the Monty Hall
dilbert
1/5/15 10:28pm
I just did a 10 game example, and my score was 8/2 for winning on the switch.
ClackamasCoug
1/6/15 10:07am
Yeah, that's enough to see that it clearly isn't anywhere close
dilbert
1/6/15 10:20am
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