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Jul 5, 2019
10:17
:25
am
fortuitousfred
Contributor
A layperson shouldn’t try to time the market.
There’s evidence that experts probably shouldn’t either, but that’s another discussion.
You’ll hear a common refrain that “time in the market beats timing the market”. Not everyone on CB agrees, but it’s good advice for most people.
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fortuitousfred
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fortuitousfred
Joined
Dec 15, 2010
Last login
Apr 28, 2024
Total posts
708 (11 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Some long term investment advice/question
byuguns55
7/5/19 10:11am
A layperson shouldn’t try to time the market.
fortuitousfred
7/5/19 10:17am
Makes sense to me...just needing some encouragement and bravery right now
byuguns55
7/5/19 10:20am
It’s all about valuations to me. The stock market can be overvalued or
chilango
7/5/19 10:22am
This is in no way meant to be taken as advice, just an observation.
BYU71
7/5/19 10:33am
My horizon is still 20-25 years out
byuguns55
7/5/19 10:35am
And thanks for the advice and great post
byuguns55
7/5/19 10:35am
At the end of 2010 there were soooo many
grosven
7/5/19 10:28am
Do you have a lot liquid? If you are hoping for a crash, I assume
byuguns55
7/5/19 10:37am
Yes. Lots of cash. Lots of waiting. You can search
grosven
7/5/19 10:50am
So with your line of thinking, i should sell right now and hold
byuguns55
7/5/19 11:33am
buy and continue to buy real estate. Just like cost averaging with stocks.
grandpacoug
7/5/19 11:46am
The difference is that historically, real estate prices have increased at the
chilango
7/5/19 11:54am
there is one big difference you are forgetting. Let's assume you are accurate
grandpacoug
7/5/19 2:22pm
You can leverage stocks as well, even though most small investors don't. You can
chilango
7/5/19 6:34pm
You can leverage stick ALL the way down to it becoming a piece of paper.
grandpacoug
7/5/19 7:38pm
RE: You can leverage stick ALL the way down to it becoming a piece of paper.
chilango
7/5/19 8:41pm
Check out a 20+ year chart of the S&P500. We've been at all-time highs
Machiavelli
7/5/19 10:47am
That’s what I’ve been doing for 15 years for 2 x Roth IRAs
byuguns55
7/5/19 11:34am
Good job, keep it up. Don't try to time the market now!
Machiavelli
7/5/19 4:08pm
Read other books, specifically from John bogle
cougfanz
7/5/19 10:53am
Don’t ever pull out of the market. Have a set stock to bond ratio that jibes with your risk tolerance and also how close
Mr. Belding
7/5/19 10:55am
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