With the exception of UW, the rest of our schedule is pretty winnable. (And maybe UW too, stranger things...)
Boise, USU, Toledo and SDSU are the toughest games on the schedule after UW, USU and Boise in particular, but I don't think it's unreasonable to say we win 3 out of those 4. And frankly, if things fall into alignment, 10-2 isn't inconceivable.
That said, things rarely fall into alignment, so I'd put us at 8-9 wins with a hopefully favorable matchup in the Hawaii Bowl pushing that to 9-10 wins. Which would be pretty incredible.