Sagarin has Washington as a 15.5 point favorite (he still has BYU rated #78). The other 2 seem closer in line w/ the actual Vegas spread. Sounds like S&P+ is somewhere between the two.
My own prediction which uses a statistical/mathematical based approach is pretty darn close to the Vegas spread and over/under as well so that's kind of what I'm expecting. BYU does have a solid chance at winning this game and I hope it happens, but when all is said and done I'm expecting Washington to win by 6.