Actually, Georgia will lose to LSU dropping them out, Oregon will lose to Utah,
and Utah will leap over Oklahoma for beating a highly ranked opponent in Oregon. Utah finishes either 4 or 5 in the voting. The only question is does the committee take Alabama with one loss to LSU and a second string QB, or a one loss Pac 12 champion in Utah? I think their chances are much higher than 8%. it's either them or Alabama.