Updated odds of making the College Football Playoffs:
1. Ohio State -100%
2. LSU - 100%
3. Clemson - 98.8%
4. Georgia - 44.2%
5. Oklahoma - 30.1%
6. Utah - 14.3%
7. Baylor - 13.3%
Assumptions:
A) Ohio State and LSU are in even with a loss. I suppose if they get destroyed by 40 points or something, then it might not be so certain.
B) It’s all or nothing for Georgia. Beat LSU and they’re in; lose and they’re out.
C) I give equal odds to 12-1 Utah; 12-1 Clemson; and the Big XII champion. I don’t know how the Committee would compare those teams in filling the last spot or two. My best guess on pecking order would go Oklahoma, Utah, Clemson, then Baylor. But I could obviously be wrong.
D) Wisconsin will not be considered even if they beat Ohio State.