For example, only about 1 in 20 Utahns who get tested have the virus. Who is getting tested? Those with symptoms and connections to the virus. In other words the most likely group to have it. Say the actual numbers are 1 in 40. That seems like terrible news.

While 100% of the population is not going to get it, most models predict at least 50%. So that means social distancing is working. It also means if you stop social distancing you are in real trouble.

Unless you think 97% of the population is never going to get it? That doesn't seem even remotely plausible.

If we saw something like 50% test positive that would be much better for Utah and their future. It would mean the percentage of those without symptoms is much higher.