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Mar 26, 2020
2:29:02pm

BYUMizzou Former User

You're on the fence? Anyone with an ounce of sanity should desperately want the

Oxford model to be correct. Wanting anything else to be correct is insane.

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BYUMizzou

Previous username: Mark Harlan
Bio page: BYUMizzou
Joined: Aug 25, 2010
Last login: May 23, 2024
Total posts: 38,338 (8,693 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

So I took the time to read the latest release from Imperial College

coolcats

3/26/20 2:16pm

That's the trouble here. The efforts government went to trying to mitigate the

SandYFan

3/26/20 2:18pm

We can look to Sweden to know. They have taken few if any measures

CocaColaRecovery

3/26/20 2:21pm

Impossible to extrapolate a small country's experience to the US.

SandYFan

3/26/20 2:22pm

Is Italy considered small? Particularly Lombardy?

JohnnyComeLately

3/26/20 2:22pm

Yes. You'll note I've never said a thing about Italy.

SandYFan

3/26/20 2:23pm

I don’t follow you to know if that is true or not.

JohnnyComeLately

3/26/20 2:24pm

Of course they have. It's been impossible to miss.

SandYFan

3/26/20 2:26pm

Totally possible

CocaColaRecovery

3/26/20 2:26pm

Here's the problem I have - in line with what you're saying...

Eddie

3/26/20 2:23pm

The trouble is that mitigation works??

3/26/20 2:26pm

What are you thoughts on the Oxford analysis? Particularly this part:

boogers

3/26/20 2:21pm

Why is this expert to be trusted? Because they are saying what you believe?

SandYFan

3/26/20 2:21pm

ah...I asked the question first? Why do you want the Imperial Model to be

boogers

3/26/20 2:22pm

I don't. I'm very much on the fence here. You, on the other hand,

SandYFan

3/26/20 2:24pm

RE: I don't. I'm very much on the fence here. You, on the other hand,

boogers

3/26/20 2:26pm

You're on the fence? Anyone with an ounce of sanity should desperately want the

BYUMizzou

3/26/20 2:29pm

Why is what we want to be true even relevant here?

SandYFan

3/26/20 2:29pm

RE: Why is what we want to be true even relevant here?

BYUMizzou

3/26/20 2:33pm

<< Deleted >>

Abe Froman

3/26/20 2:33pm

Test as much as possible

coolcats

3/26/20 2:22pm

Maybe we should stop payment on the 2 trillion dollar check

Josef K

3/26/20 2:22pm

I would be ok with that. Lift the restrictions and get back to work.

kotacoug

3/26/20 2:25pm

Pretty convenient. I mean how can one argue?

JohnnyComeLately

3/26/20 2:22pm

We can absolutely see the benefits of shutting down in the trends

Josef K

3/26/20 2:24pm

Didn’t U.K. have the herd mentality only a week ago?

JohnnyComeLately

3/26/20 2:26pm

<< Deleted >>

Abe Froman

3/26/20 3:04pm

I mean, his assumptions were what was wrong in the first place,

CSoul

3/26/20 2:30pm

I mean I guess you decided not to read the content

coolcats

3/26/20 2:33pm

Yeah, now that I've read the study, the overreaction on this board seems silly.

chilango

3/26/20 2:44pm

<< Deleted >>

Abe Froman

3/26/20 3:35pm

Those are the numbers his original paper contained. For the UK, 500K deaths if

chilango

3/26/20 3:47pm

<< Deleted >>

Abe Froman

3/26/20 4:31pm

Can you provide a specific example of the "dramatic" reduction you mention?

chilango

3/26/20 4:46pm

<< Deleted >>

Abe Froman

3/26/20 5:45pm

The fact that we are 3 days into a lockdown (or 10, or 0) is irrelevant. He

chilango

3/26/20 5:54pm

If you haven't read the paper, here it is. Go to page 13 for the relevant table

chilango

3/26/20 6:00pm

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