So even if this ends up as the actual outcome we are talking 30% more than

Mar 29, 2020
5:39:45am

Dixie's Red Rocks Playmaker

Typical flu season deaths. When was the last time people were panicked about the flu. We certainly don't get daily updates about flu infections and deaths.

This message has been modified

Originally posted on Mar 29, 2020 at 5:39:45am

Message modified by Dixie's Red Rocks on Mar 29, 2020 at 5:41:06am

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Dixie's Red Rocks

Bio page: Dixie's Red Rocks
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Messages

Author

Time

This website from the University of Washington provides COVID projections for

Game Changer

3/29/20 2:46am

For Utah: 619 deaths projected by August, and a shortage of 121 ICU beds.

Game Changer

3/29/20 2:49am

So even if this ends up as the actual outcome we are talking 30% more than

Dixie's Red Rocks

3/29/20 5:39am

Not have we ever allowed the flu to shutdown the economy.

Soy Celeste

3/29/20 6:07am

Yes. That as well. Just didn't want to be long winded.

Dixie's Red Rocks

3/29/20 6:10am

30% more deaths in 1 month than the flu for 12 months with the restrictions....

Doc Buff

3/29/20 10:55am

because this result is only achieved through extreme preventative measures

The Shazad

3/29/20 6:13am

And 50 k flu dearhs happen, WITH TAMIFLU and WITH VACCINES!

CarolinaCoug

3/29/20 9:13am

Yes, because of shelter-in-place orders and social distancing. Without these

chilango

3/29/20 6:45am

Yes, but had we taken no effort it would have been 3000%

flyzag

3/29/20 6:48am

It's *because* we're doing those things that the projections come down.

ReyOso

3/29/20 7:06am

Well - I just haven’t heard of hospitals being overwhelmed with flu cases

Cswilliam01

3/29/20 7:26am

We are only getting flu like death numbers bc of isolation measures. If we

Alsippi89

3/29/20 7:42am

Because of social distancing efforts.

jkccoug

3/29/20 9:24am

unfortunately we're currently running at the high end of these projections

The Shazad

3/29/20 6:09am

Potential caveats

bythenumbers

3/29/20 6:44am

Interesting find - that guy definitely has a lot to say. I'm sure we will find

Game Changer

3/29/20 12:35pm

It's already wrong on Colorado by saying there is no shelter in place order.

Mister P

3/29/20 6:45am

Same with Idaho

RexIdaCoug

3/29/20 6:53am

Is it statewide or specific areas?

buffgato

3/29/20 7:20am

So the peak of the curve is projected to be just before mid April. A few weeks

JmThms

3/29/20 7:01am

Crazy how few beds per capita New York has comparatively

oilman

3/29/20 7:06am

One of the reasons we shut down elective OR cases is because

Boring

3/29/20 8:40am

RE: One of the reasons we shut down elective OR cases is because

Oatmeal

3/29/20 11:04am

and I'm not even an expert!

kiyoshige

3/29/20 8:53am

I think this model is accurate if the measures implemented are followed.

Zoobieman

3/29/20 12:44pm

300,000 dead in the U.S. *WITH* the current intervention - really?

Game Changer

3/29/20 12:57pm

Honestly, I don't know. If I lower my Critical case mortality rate by 50%. . .

Zoobieman

3/29/20 1:09pm

That might be it then. Hopefully you are the wrong one! 😉

Game Changer

3/29/20 1:37pm

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