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Mar 31, 2020
6:12
:32
pm
YIsForBrigham
Poo Poo
But New York could begin to fall which is by far the largest driver. It skews all the numbers
It’s also the largest and most dense city we have so I think it’s reasonable to assume we won’t see any individual region peak higher
This message has been modified
Originally posted on Mar 31, 2020 at 6:12:32pm
Message modified by YIsForBrigham on Mar 31, 2020 at 6:13:08pm
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YIsForBrigham
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TrueAndBlue
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YIsForBrigham
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Aug 9, 2012
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May 5, 2024
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Messages
Author
Time
Taskforce expects US to peak at approx 2,200 deaths per day in 14 days, which is
Plato
3/31/20 5:58pm
3,000/day and 110,000 total deaths
RdF3
3/31/20 6:03pm
I'm going with 2,000 and 47,000 total deaths
Plato
3/31/20 6:07pm
Yep, I think under 50k
CSoul
3/31/20 6:13pm
They are just going off the University of Washington study
CSoul
3/31/20 6:04pm
I think it will take longer than that to hit the peak and the deaths per day
ayfan
3/31/20 6:05pm
But New York could begin to fall which is by far the largest driver. It skews all the numbers
YIsForBrigham
3/31/20 6:12pm
We just don't know for sure if its timing and several others will start to jump
Plato
3/31/20 6:15pm
New York is only 6% of the US population. Even if the rest of the country
ayfan
3/31/20 6:23pm
New cases is heavily influenced by number of tests. As long as we’re increasing testing, expect cases to follow
Mike Honcho
3/31/20 6:49pm
I don't know about New York specifically. But nationally testing number are down
ayfan
3/31/20 6:59pm
If the pattern holds from the rest of the world, it will spread much, much more slowly in less densely populated areas
YIsForBrigham
3/31/20 6:56pm
Austin area is just starting to get hit. Overwhelmingly younger people
rtNelson
3/31/20 6:18pm
Less than 2,000 per day and less than 40,000 this year (God willing)
Odysseus
3/31/20 6:57pm
I think we'll end up with around 50K deaths this year, meaning before Sept.
runnincoug
3/31/20 9:31pm
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