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Mar 31, 2020
9:31
:53
pm
runnincoug
Truly Addicted User
I think we'll end up with around 50K deaths this year, meaning before Sept.
but more next cold season
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runnincoug
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runnincoug
Joined
May 26, 2011
Last login
May 5, 2024
Total posts
33,455 (2,544 FO)
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Messages
Author
Time
Taskforce expects US to peak at approx 2,200 deaths per day in 14 days, which is
Plato
3/31/20 5:58pm
3,000/day and 110,000 total deaths
RdF3
3/31/20 6:03pm
I'm going with 2,000 and 47,000 total deaths
Plato
3/31/20 6:07pm
Yep, I think under 50k
CSoul
3/31/20 6:13pm
They are just going off the University of Washington study
CSoul
3/31/20 6:04pm
I think it will take longer than that to hit the peak and the deaths per day
ayfan
3/31/20 6:05pm
But New York could begin to fall which is by far the largest driver. It skews all the numbers
YIsForBrigham
3/31/20 6:12pm
We just don't know for sure if its timing and several others will start to jump
Plato
3/31/20 6:15pm
New York is only 6% of the US population. Even if the rest of the country
ayfan
3/31/20 6:23pm
New cases is heavily influenced by number of tests. As long as we’re increasing testing, expect cases to follow
Mike Honcho
3/31/20 6:49pm
I don't know about New York specifically. But nationally testing number are down
ayfan
3/31/20 6:59pm
If the pattern holds from the rest of the world, it will spread much, much more slowly in less densely populated areas
YIsForBrigham
3/31/20 6:56pm
Austin area is just starting to get hit. Overwhelmingly younger people
rtNelson
3/31/20 6:18pm
Less than 2,000 per day and less than 40,000 this year (God willing)
Odysseus
3/31/20 6:57pm
I think we'll end up with around 50K deaths this year, meaning before Sept.
runnincoug
3/31/20 9:31pm
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