See WHO 3.4 percent

Apr 4, 2020
4:54:47pm

bythenumbers Walk-on

See WHO 3.4 percent

A number that still gets quoted weeks later. All they did was took likely inaccurate current Chinese deaths divided by current Chinese confirmed cases. Very little in the way of caveats or disclaimers.

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bythenumbers

Bio page: bythenumbers
Joined: Mar 16, 2020
Last login: Apr 26, 2024
Total posts: 1,771 (1 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Just some interesting information to consider, along with the scarier data.

YSMACK

4/4/20 1:35pm

Yes, my wife, the nurse, was noting the over 200 more cases since yesterday.

StarMan

4/4/20 1:41pm

Of note is that the 8% requiring hospitalization is just of those actually

RugbyCoug

4/4/20 1:45pm

I’ve noted it before, but I will again. Iceland says over 50% of their positive

Jay Rick

4/4/20 1:59pm

Sheesh. Vikings! 😉

Boanerges

4/4/20 2:05pm

Both good points.

YSMACK

4/4/20 2:14pm

It also likely means that many more people have it than we think/report

Big Papi

4/4/20 3:47pm

RE: It also likely means that many more people have it than we think/report

kbufcoug

4/4/20 4:26pm

Remember no one knows the false positive rate.

NotTokolosh

4/4/20 7:56pm

Or false negative rate. Or the future. Or undiagnosed infected.

YSMACK

4/4/20 10:22pm

Your fatality rate is way off

jgaxn

4/4/20 4:18pm

I mean the WHO did it

bythenumbers

4/4/20 4:26pm

No it isn't.

YSMACK

4/4/20 4:30pm

You're comparing apples and oranges.

jgaxn

4/4/20 9:08pm

LOL. You're the one cherry picking.

YSMACK

4/4/20 9:39pm

Your 100% accurate statement may not have intended to mislead...

jgaxn

4/5/20 2:10pm

Hey, looks like my 100% factual post is still right on the money.

YSMACK

10/26/20 1:43pm

Overstating the death percentage is also dangerous

bigjohn

4/4/20 4:41pm

See WHO 3.4 percent

bythenumbers

4/4/20 4:54pm

Not only was it not dangerous. It was right on and sitll is today (.54% now).

YSMACK

10/26/20 1:44pm

No one knows the denominator

bythenumbers

4/4/20 4:33pm

Actual is almost certainly much higher than confirmed, as you stated

YSMACK

4/4/20 4:36pm

No criticism here, just a comment

bythenumbers

4/4/20 4:38pm

And a good, appreciated, comment.

YSMACK

4/4/20 4:39pm

That italian town with 2/3 having asymptotic disease...

Jonahsdad

4/4/20 4:56pm

Fair. My death rate is just Utah. I used it since I (and most here) live in Utah

YSMACK

4/4/20 5:03pm

Right now, if Italy’s trends continue as expected, about a half of a % of their

Jay Rick

4/4/20 6:15pm

Where in the world do you get this number?

bythenumbers

4/4/20 6:48pm

Actually, you’re right. Their projection isn’t 300K. So I’m off. Apologies.

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