That death rate equates to 130,000 dead Americans, or double

Apr 7, 2020
9:57:10am

Busiturtle Intervention Needed

The annual flu/pneumonia season.

And that is based on NYC data and assuming everyone who goes to ICU does not live.

Run the numbers more optimistically and COVID deaths will be similar to flu deaths.

Numbers

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Busiturtle

Previous username: danwut
Bio page: Busiturtle
Joined: Nov 29, 2001
Last login: Jan 4, 2023
Total posts: 56,347 (2,185 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

If you are a reasonably healthy adult, your chance of COVID death is 0.04%

Busiturtle

4/7/20 9:45am

How are people still downplaying the danger of this thing?

rad dawg

4/7/20 9:47am

Good question

Covid-19

4/7/20 9:48am

It amazes me too. Head in sand

Croweater

4/7/20 9:48am

It's not downplaying it. I mean, a 0.04% chance of dying is good enough for me

dYrtbYkerYder

4/7/20 9:50am

Everyone has different risk tolerance, .04% chance of dying doesn’t even phase

gilmerbuckeye

4/7/20 10:03am

Except it’s not a 99.6% chance you’ll be fine. It’s actually 99.96%.

antiyewt

4/7/20 1:13pm

It's unbelievable.

eddog

4/7/20 10:05am

half my siblings take similar stances...at a minimum, it's a lack of empathy

BlackBart

4/7/20 10:07am

to be clear, they've self-ascribed to the bucket that won't care until

BlackBart

4/7/20 10:09am

Is it lacking empathy to spend trillions to prolong a relatively small number of

dYrtbYkerYder

4/7/20 10:15am

What you said is true

gurt

4/7/20 11:33am

All great philosophical questions answered when there is ample time and

StalwartBraveTrue

4/7/20 8:18pm

So where is your empathy for the 20 million americans that lost jobs this month?

gilmerbuckeye

4/7/20 10:33am

Vast majority of these have been furloughed and can resume the same employment

hardcorecoug

4/7/20 9:35pm

Source on that claim? The ones at my company were simply laid off.

dYrtbYkerYder

4/7/20 10:16pm

Downplaying for segments of the population

CougarCanuck76

4/7/20 11:29am

Only 10 of us.

kiyoshige

4/7/20 11:58am

I'm surprised you feel that way. I had no idea what your position was on this before now.

Pimpin4Paradise

4/7/20 9:47am

Did you read that on Zerohedge?

SandYFan

4/7/20 9:47am

As a reasonably healthy adult what are my chances of dying from an infectious

Tare

4/7/20 9:49am

If the theory is that everyone will get it eventually, my future is not bright.

Hinta

4/7/20 9:50am

You may want to isolate yourself significantly until you’re vaccinated.

antiyewt

4/7/20 1:20pm

That is the problem. What is reasonably healthy?

bluecheese

4/7/20 9:51am

What if you're an unreasonable healthy adult? Asking for a friend.

DapperDan

4/7/20 9:54am

That death rate equates to 130,000 dead Americans, or double

Busiturtle

4/7/20 9:57am

Yet albeit with different precautions and approach to flu prevention.

coug almighty

4/7/20 10:00am

So.. just let it run rampant through the world population

Big Daddy D

4/7/20 9:59am

He has been shown this argument many times and ignores it.

SandYFan

4/7/20 10:05am

I mean, if it's about saving lives, how about we get vaccines, mosquito nets,

dYrtbYkerYder

4/7/20 10:08am

We're working on that.

SandYFan

4/7/20 10:11am

Not on a large scale. Most would rather donate $ to their local animal shelter.

dYrtbYkerYder

4/7/20 10:17am

Don’t get me started on that nonsense

Big Daddy D

4/7/20 10:19am

Bill Gates is doing it on a large scale.

SandYFan

4/7/20 10:23am

He's done some amazing things for sure.

dYrtbYkerYder

4/7/20 10:31am

<< Deleted >>

dYrtbYkerYder

4/7/20 10:32am

but what would that number be if no lockdowns were in place?

flyzag

4/7/20 10:33am

I guess we will see when this is all over because of Sweden.

gilmerbuckeye

4/7/20 10:35am

I know it's not perfect (testing etc) but Sweden currently has a 7.68% mortality

flyzag

4/7/20 10:41am

It wouldn't be the mortality rate that would change, would it, it would be the

gilmerbuckeye

4/7/20 10:45am

the percentage of people infected, right?

gilmerbuckeye

4/7/20 10:45am

Both. The argument could be made that more deaths occur in places where no

flyzag

4/7/20 10:54am

Sweden is taking measures, just not as extreme

Covid-19

4/7/20 11:22am

I never said Sweden did nothing, thank you.

gilmerbuckeye

4/7/20 12:29pm

Not saying you in particular have, just have seen that sentiment recently

Covid-19

4/7/20 1:00pm

Avoiding death is not the reason young people should be social distancing, etc.

Hill4Heisman

4/7/20 11:12am

330,000,000 x .04% = 132,000 deaths

Jonahsdad

4/7/20 11:55am

And current projections predict around 80,000 US deaths.

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