With almost the same winning percentage, BYU slightly higher, but markedly lower DOS

Difference is BYU had more resources than most of the conference. Utah has had markedly fewer that most P12.

In fact, very few lower tier P5s have outperformed Utah. Especially in the last 7-8 years.

That that is probably a higher bar than you think.

I think BYU would do really well. Given

But BYU fans underestimate how difficult winning on the road can be in a P5.