Vegas odds aren't just about who will win. It's about what will draw in the most

Oct 6, 2022
1:22:03pm

Fruff Contributor

bets. It's based on many formulas that try to draw in the most amount of bets to offset any miscalculation they might make. But to answer your real question. Yes BYU is overrated.

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Fruff

Bio page: Fruff
Joined: Apr 17, 2020
Last login: Oct 10, 2022
Total posts: 457 (5 FO)

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Messages

Author

Time

Somebody smarter than me please explain this: how is it possible to be both

Mitty

10/6/22 1:15pm

Why should Vegas be beholden to sportswriter opinions?

Indy Coug

10/6/22 1:15pm

Vegas odds aren't just about who will win. It's about what will draw in the most

Fruff

10/6/22 1:22pm

Are you even a BYU fan?

Rat

10/6/22 6:41pm

Told you they were over rated...

Fruff

10/9/22 3:41pm

You’ve been waiting to post that one haven’t ya.

Rat

10/9/22 3:49pm

lol. yep.

Fruff

10/9/22 3:51pm

So the coaches and media are giving BYU too much credit? Interesting if so.

Mitty

10/6/22 1:22pm

Vegas has very very smart people doing their odds and do not rely on dumb polls.

ManicBlue

10/6/22 1:17pm

And yet all those very, very smart Vegas people are doing is trying to get the

basman

10/6/22 1:22pm

Sure but they are for the most part very close on the outcome too.

ManicBlue

10/6/22 1:26pm

Bingo

archie

10/6/22 11:53pm

I wonder why the poll people don't use the smarter Vegas people to do their jobs

Mitty

10/6/22 1:23pm

IMO, there are a LOT of people smarter than the media people voting in the polls that could do it better.

ManicBlue

10/6/22 1:27pm

Vegas is also doing it with a specific purpose in mind, make money.

TheLoneCougar

10/6/22 6:58pm

The thing to keep in mind is that Vegas doesn't care who wins. They also don't

cougarfan84

10/6/22 8:54pm

IIRC, Vegas lost approx 500 MILLION on the BYU LSU game in 2017

ALUF 1990

10/7/22 9:20am

Bet volume isn't anywhere near that high on regular season

MyTwoCents

10/7/22 9:57am

You are wrong. We crossed the 50 one time that game

indocoug

10/7/22 10:10am

Lol, no. They didn't lose 500 million on a BYU game. They probably didn't even

byubyu

10/7/22 10:29am

Poll voter rankings are beauty pageant corrupt trash.which is why

CarolinaCoug

10/6/22 1:19pm

Probably because the rankings (aside from the first couple weeks) are largely

Hooda88

10/6/22 1:19pm

Advanced analytics has Notre Dame rated #14 and BYU #42. Thats more likely

CarolinaCoug

10/6/22 1:23pm

The source you posted has Utah ranked #5. That should tell you all you need to know.

slatecoug

10/7/22 12:58am

Agreed. FEI is obviously the most accurate ranking system.

ALUF 1990

10/7/22 9:08am

BTW, your advanced analytics also have Iowa ranked ahead of Iowa St. and Texas A&M ahead of App St.

slatecoug

10/7/22 1:04am

College rankings are based primarily on wins and losses. LV cares about matchups

Boring

10/6/22 1:24pm

Nevada is Pacific Time Zone, no?

hxmCougar2000

10/6/22 1:26pm

It has been every time I have visited.

Real G Man

10/6/22 3:56pm

Not all of it.

byubyu

10/7/22 3:22am

Vegas lines are variable and move over time to help create less loss for the casino.

(Private)

10/6/22 1:31pm

Vegas is no respecter of Rankings

Gunga Galunga

10/6/22 1:31pm

Rankings are a macro view. Vegas knows individual games are about matchups.

seacougar

10/6/22 3:17pm

It’s simple dude. Folks voting in rankings are not the folks making the odds.

canofpicante

10/6/22 4:11pm

Its 100% about how people will bet. Has nothing to do with what team is better.

boctabulous

10/6/22 5:21pm

BYU has bad adv analytics and Notre Dame has better adv analytics?

Dr T-bone

10/6/22 6:21pm

Vegas is Not Predicting the Outcome

DrewGundy

10/6/22 6:23pm

Because...ND is better than BYU...unless BYU plays better Saturday

cougforever

10/6/22 6:26pm

Ummm... One word. T_A_L_E_N_T

canndyman

10/6/22 7:13pm

Rankings are to a degree earned by performance. At the beginning of the

RobDog

10/6/22 8:39pm

They've seen Tuiakis D vs the run these past 2 games vs bad teams.

Coug Dude

10/6/22 11:11pm

Well, it is a Notre Dame home game.

AZcougLawyer

10/7/22 12:28am

Vegas is right more times than polls

zerome4sooners

10/7/22 5:10am

Rankings based on 1st game to now, bet is based on how they are trending now.

ImuaKahuku

10/7/22 5:37am

Easy. Betters disagree with the rankings

Acorn

10/7/22 6:58am

Polls are backwards looking, Vegas is forward looking

krindorr

10/7/22 7:41am

Vegas odds are not set to predict the winner

davidmj10

10/7/22 9:56am

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