My Account
Report problem with this ad
Start a related thread
Start a related poll
Reply via Boardmail
Apr 10, 2020
3:26
:56
pm
Toubibe
Walk-on
sorry, this post was meant for the OP
Start a related thread
Start a related poll
Reply via Boardmail
Report problem with this ad
Toubibe
Bio page
Toubibe
Joined
Apr 4, 2020
Last login
Jun 15, 2024
Total posts
894 (1 FO)
Report problem with this ad
Messages
Author
Time
It's been here longer than we think - I have the numbers
bythenumbers
4/10/20 12:50pm
This is great stuff. Thanks. What are the dates that correspond to Week 1, Week 2, etc in the x axis?
Greg Kite's 'stache
4/10/20 12:52pm
Not sure. Too lazy to find out. Likely the first full week of the year or Jan 5
bythenumbers
4/10/20 12:54pm
Nice job. I am looking forward to serology results.
PJMort
4/10/20 12:54pm
Can you give context on the absolute numbers
Coog4Life
4/10/20 12:54pm
I added to post at bottom
bythenumbers
4/10/20 1:00pm
The US +25 population is roughly at 222.1M, the 0.4% delta means 888,392 cases
jamalccc
4/10/20 1:04pm
Thank you
Coog4Life
4/10/20 5:03pm
This makes sense to me. I just can't imagine that 8,000 people coming into LAX
BYUCougarsFan
4/10/20 12:54pm
Yep. I've been wondering about Las Vegas. We have huge numbers of Chinese...
PJMort
4/10/20 12:56pm
But why did we have so many negative tests of symptomatic people in Feb when we started testing?
chago04
4/10/20 12:57pm
How accurate were those tests at that time?
webster242
4/10/20 12:59pm
Did we have mass testing in CA in Feb? (honest question, I don't know).
BYUCougarsFan
4/10/20 1:00pm
Not really but then wouldn't there be more positive tests coming back now?
chago04
4/10/20 1:01pm
I don't think so. If they already hit the peak, then several are immune. It
BYUCougarsFan
4/10/20 1:04pm
That antibody test will be a gamechanger. We will learn a lot when that test goes widespread.
chago04
4/10/20 1:04pm
Agreed.
BYUCougarsFan
4/10/20 1:06pm
Because any tests in February were given to us by China and the WHO and they
travelcoug
4/10/20 1:12pm
I can buy that but I do have a question...
bluecheese
4/10/20 12:57pm
These numbers are nationwide
bythenumbers
4/10/20 1:01pm
I've had the same question throughout this process. It would seem that we
Zinger
4/10/20 1:02pm
The percentage positive is way high in hot spots 30-40%
bythenumbers
4/10/20 1:06pm
Is that positive tests, or people diagnosed with COVID-19?
bluecheese
4/10/20 1:19pm
Positive tests as I understand it
bythenumbers
4/10/20 1:29pm
Testing criteria isn't the same in those hot spots, usually tests are for people about to be hospitalized there.
chago04
4/10/20 1:20pm
This is a great read that kind of goes along with what you are saying
therockbenz
4/10/20 12:57pm
Very interesting. Thx
UpperCirqueUte
4/10/20 12:57pm
Bad interpretation, and incomplete data
Sumguy
4/10/20 1:01pm
The arrival happened on two fronts from two different places.
Troy McClure
4/10/20 1:01pm
An article about it (there are tons out there).
Troy McClure
4/10/20 1:12pm
Yeah, I linked to that one in the post
bythenumbers
4/10/20 1:17pm
So underreported Covid deaths being attributed to "flu" perhaps before
Troy McClure
4/10/20 1:18pm
Yes, it impacts deaths as well
bythenumbers
4/10/20 1:21pm
Will be interesting to see play out.
Troy McClure
4/10/20 1:33pm
This is consonant with what I want to be true
Toubibe
4/10/20 3:25pm
sorry, this post was meant for the OP
Toubibe
4/10/20 3:26pm
This doesn't tell as much about absolute numbers
bythenumbers
4/10/20 3:45pm
many have forgotten the original purpose of social distancing
Toubibe
4/10/20 4:06pm
Unfortunately, the genetic analysis has disproved this
CallingDingo
4/10/20 1:06pm
Link?
The Old Y
4/10/20 1:08pm
Here's what I've seen
bythenumbers
4/10/20 1:13pm
Not really. I think the genetic analysis I've seen is saying the same thing
bythenumbers
4/10/20 1:10pm
Possible supporting data
Northwest Cougar
4/10/20 2:16pm
Yeah
bythenumbers
4/10/20 2:36pm
Really interesting data. I downloaded it and looked at the state level data.
Coach's Dad
4/10/20 2:27pm
Yeah I think the economist looked at that
bythenumbers
4/10/20 2:37pm
Can you explain the source of the data a little more?
StalwartBraveTrue
4/10/20 2:56pm
I'm not totally familiar
bythenumbers
4/10/20 3:21pm
That is a pretty cool data set.
StalwartBraveTrue
4/10/20 6:48pm
Maybe it's not as lethal
bythenumbers
4/10/20 8:05pm
Devil's advocate, people with flu freaked out in mid February went to Dr, verses
viper
4/10/20 7:13pm
That’s my thought. I know of 4 kids in my neighborhood alone who went to MD
StalwartBraveTrue
4/10/20 7:26pm
I looked at data
bythenumbers
4/10/20 7:56pm
How do you jive the spike in numbers but decrease in
StalwartBraveTrue
4/10/20 8:37pm
Keep in mind it's a ratio
bythenumbers
4/10/20 8:41pm
That helps. Thanks.
StalwartBraveTrue
4/11/20 2:18pm
When did that happen though, were people freaking out in the us in mid Feb?
viper
4/10/20 8:09pm
It was level then dropped off in March. Wasn't increasing
bythenumbers
4/10/20 8:11pm
Nah you nailed it see my post below.
CarolinaCoug
4/11/20 11:07am
You arent accounting for many fsctors such as media scarintg crap out of 25y/o
CarolinaCoug
4/11/20 10:53am
Boom
bythenumbers
4/23/20 1:15pm
Plz answer 1 queation. Why if it was here in Dec was there not
CarolinaCoug
4/23/20 7:21pm
It was probably killing old people but just diagnosed as pneumonia,
Coach's Dad
4/23/20 9:47pm
Ther was no increasw in all respirarory related deaths. That's the pointt
CarolinaCoug
4/24/20 5:09pm
Report problem with this ad
Posting on CougarBoard
In order to post, you will need to either
sign up
or
log in
.
Report problem with this ad